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  • Projections
    In-house Bayesian model · career prior + aging × stuff/discipline signals
  • Plate Discipline
    Decision+ · chase / passive cost · K% · BB%
  • Command & Stuff
    Pitching+ · Stuff+ · Command+ · meatball rate
  • Pitcher Stuff Lab
    In-zone whiff · xwOBAcon · tunnel · deception · count predictability
  • Stuff Model (diag)
    From-scratch XGBoost training runs, feature importance, pitcher grades
  • Expected Points
    Luck-neutral fantasy points · xSLG / xwOBA · ΔPts
  • Hitter Frontier
    Power × discipline tradeoff · Pareto-frontier hitters
  • Pitcher Frontier
    Process × contact-suppression · pound the zone vs limit damage
  • Hitter Vulnerabilities
    Biggest pitch-trait strengths & weaknesses · vs league or vs own
  • AAA Hitters
    Triple-A bats · xwOBA · contact quality · discipline · frontier
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Gabriel Moreno

Gabriel Moreno

C·ARI
Compare
Compare
PA
351
H
81
HR
5
AVG
.266
xwOBA
.332
PPG
1.92
Career Seasons
YrGPAAVGOBPSLGISOxwOBAK%BB%K-BB%HRSBPtsPPGxPPG
202645174.260.351.427.167.37119.0%10.9%8.1%541012.24—
202583309.285
2024 MLB Percentiles

Hitting Profile

351 PA — below qualified cutoff. Percentiles vs. qualified pool (faded).

Expected Results
xwOBA
46
.332
xBA
59
.255
.355
.433
.148
.350
17.2%
9.4%
7.8%
9
2
192
2.31
—
202499351.266.356.380.114.33214.8%11.7%3.1%531901.92—
2023127380.284.346.408.124.31619.7%7.6%12.1%762261.78—
20222473.319.356.377.058.29611.0%5.5%5.5%10381.58—
xSLG
26
.398
Quality of Contact
Avg EV
60
90.0
Median EV
49
92.5
90th % EV
37
104.1
Barrel %
27
6.6
Hard-Hit %
45
41.0
Sweet-Spot %
36
34.8
Bat Speed
Avg
31
69.1
Median
25
70.1
90th %
35
75.5
Plate Discipline
Chase %
90
21.6
Whiff %
82
16.6
K %
90
14.8
BB %
91
11.7
Swing Decisions

Plate Discipline · Decision+

Expected-run-value of every swing-or-take decision, against a league-average batter’s optimum. 100 = avg · 110 = 1 SD better.

Decision+
111
≈ 86th pctl
Chase cost
-22.5r
219 swings @ bad pitch
Passive cost
-12.0r
277 takes @ hittable pitch
Swing rate
41.9%
1,579 pitches seen
Runs per 100
-2.19
lg avg -2.53
Count
View
534+13%8511+0%8+14%14+13%15+3%34+25%24+18%112+32%22-16%45-32%56-37%73-12%42+25%24+0%7+44%18-3%39-35%62-35%69-44%43+20%20+20%10+15%20+19%37+17%60+8%49+24%21+15%135+18%11+0%10+7%14+10%10522CATCHER'S VIEW
Judgment — swing% vs optimal
−35%−15%0+15%+35%
  • Red cells — swings more than an optimal batter would here (chasing).
  • Blue cells — swings less than optimal (too passive).
  • Number in cell: swing%-delta vs optimal. Top-right: pitches seen.
Total pitches shown: 1,000