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  • Projections
    In-house Bayesian model · career prior + aging × stuff/discipline signals
  • Plate Discipline
    Decision+ · chase / passive cost · K% · BB%
  • Command & Stuff
    Pitching+ · Stuff+ · Command+ · meatball rate
  • Pitcher Stuff Lab
    In-zone whiff · xwOBAcon · tunnel · deception · count predictability
  • Stuff Model (diag)
    From-scratch XGBoost training runs, feature importance, pitcher grades
  • Expected Points
    Luck-neutral fantasy points · xSLG / xwOBA · ΔPts
  • Hitter Frontier
    Power × discipline tradeoff · Pareto-frontier hitters
  • Pitcher Frontier
    Process × contact-suppression · pound the zone vs limit damage
  • Hitter Vulnerabilities
    Biggest pitch-trait strengths & weaknesses · vs league or vs own
  • AAA Hitters
    Triple-A bats · xwOBA · contact quality · discipline · frontier
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Gabriel Moreno

Gabriel Moreno

C·ARI
Compare
Compare
PA
309
H
79
HR
9
AVG
.285
xwOBA
.350
PPG
2.31
Career Seasons
YrGPAAVGOBPSLGISOxwOBAK%BB%K-BB%HRSBPtsPPGxPPG
202642156.255.333.409.154.36719.2%9.0%10.2%43952.26—
202583309.285
2025 MLB Percentiles

Hitting Profile

309 PA — below qualified cutoff. Percentiles vs. qualified pool (faded).

Expected Results
xwOBA
72
.350
xBA
90
.282
.355
.433
.148
.350
17.2%
9.4%
7.8%
9
2
192
2.31
—
202499351.266.356.380.114.33214.8%11.7%3.1%531901.92—
2023127380.284.346.408.124.31619.7%7.6%12.1%762261.78—
20222473.319.356.377.058.29611.0%5.5%5.5%10381.58—
xSLG
58
.456
Quality of Contact
Avg EV
56
90.4
Median EV
31
92.1
90th % EV
27
104.1
Barrel %
25
7.1
Hard-Hit %
42
43.4
Sweet-Spot %
97
42.5
Bat Speed
Avg
31
69.2
Median
31
70.7
90th %
32
75.6
Plate Discipline
Chase %
58
25.8
Whiff %
87
16.1
K %
73
17.2
BB %
61
9.4
Swing Decisions

Plate Discipline · Decision+

Expected-run-value of every swing-or-take decision, against a league-average batter’s optimum. 100 = avg · 110 = 1 SD better.

Decision+
101
≈ 54th pctl
Chase cost
-22.3r
217 swings @ bad pitch
Passive cost
-11.1r
234 takes @ hittable pitch
Swing rate
44.0%
1,339 pitches seen
Runs per 100
-2.49
lg avg -2.53
Count
View
+0%6+0%8355+40%10+30%27-3%37+38%29+38%215+50%16-12%42-41%56-39%61-12%40+41%22+13%8+46%26-4%55-42%67-43%76-20%51+26%23+9%11+40%20+25%36+19%47+3%35+17%24+43%71+14%7+6%16+20%105222CATCHER'S VIEW
Judgment — swing% vs optimal
−35%−15%0+15%+35%
  • Red cells — swings more than an optimal batter would here (chasing).
  • Blue cells — swings less than optimal (too passive).
  • Number in cell: swing%-delta vs optimal. Top-right: pitches seen.
Total pitches shown: 1,000