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  • Projections
    In-house Bayesian model · career prior + aging × stuff/discipline signals
  • Plate Discipline
    Decision+ · chase / passive cost · K% · BB%
  • Command & Stuff
    Pitching+ · Stuff+ · Command+ · meatball rate
  • Pitcher Stuff Lab
    In-zone whiff · xwOBAcon · tunnel · deception · count predictability
  • Stuff Model (diag)
    From-scratch XGBoost training runs, feature importance, pitcher grades
  • Expected Points
    Luck-neutral fantasy points · xSLG / xwOBA · ΔPts
  • Hitter Frontier
    Power × discipline tradeoff · Pareto-frontier hitters
  • Pitcher Frontier
    Process × contact-suppression · pound the zone vs limit damage
  • Hitter Vulnerabilities
    Biggest pitch-trait strengths & weaknesses · vs league or vs own
  • AAA Hitters
    Triple-A bats · xwOBA · contact quality · discipline · frontier
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Position cohort

Hitting value vs. C peers

Rank #10 of 66

Each bar is one C, ordered left-to-right by Value (blended). Center dot is VORP; whiskers span V⁻ → V⁺. This player is highlighted in blue.

-300-200-1000+100Gabriel Moreno
Gabriel Moreno · #10
V⁻ 2VORP -170V⁺ 60
Gabriel Moreno

Gabriel Moreno

C·ARI
Compare
Compare
PA
317
H
84
HR
7
AVG
.310
xwOBA
.380
PPG
2.62
Career Seasons
YrGPAAVGOBPSLGISOxwOBAK%BB%K-BB%HRSBPtsPPGxPPG
Proj72287.274.345.418.144.34117.6%9.4%8.2%741572.17—
202679317.310
2026 MLB Percentiles

Hitting Profile

317 PA — below qualified cutoff. Percentiles vs. qualified pool (faded).

Expected Results
xwOBA
88
.380
xBA
98
.302
.399
.446
.136
.380
14.8%
11.7%
3.1%
7
4
207
2.62
—
202583309.285.355.433.148.35017.2%9.4%7.8%921922.31—
202499351.266.356.380.114.33214.8%11.7%3.1%531901.92—
2023127380.284.346.408.124.31619.7%7.6%12.1%762261.78—
20222473.319.356.377.058.29611.0%5.5%5.5%10381.58—
xSLG
73
.465
Quality of Contact
Avg EV
44
89.4
Median EV
31
90.9
90th % EV
22
102.3
Barrel %
41
7.4
Hard-Hit %
42
41.9
Sweet-Spot %
83
39.3
Bat Speed
Avg
38
69.9
Median
48
71.7
90th %
53
76.8
Plate Discipline
Chase %
48
30.3
Whiff %
88
15.0
K %
81
14.8
BB %
76
11.7
Swing Decisions

Plate Discipline · Decision+

Expected-run-value of every swing-or-take decision, against a league-average batter’s optimum. 100 = avg · 110 = 1 SD better.

Decision+
84
≈ 5th pctl
Chase cost
-6.3r
55 swings @ bad pitch
Passive cost
-1.3r
32 takes @ hittable pitch
Swing rate
44.5%
238 pitches seen
Runs per 100
-3.20
lg avg -2.53
Count
View
121112+67%6+33%6+43%7+33%6115-10%10+0%12-43%7-17%625+18%17-33%15-56%16-50%10+83%62+44%9+33%6+20%1032+14%71435+0%711CATCHER'S VIEW
Judgment — swing% vs optimal
−35%−15%0+15%+35%
  • Red cells — swings more than an optimal batter would here (chasing).
  • Blue cells — swings less than optimal (too passive).
  • Number in cell: swing%-delta vs optimal. Top-right: pitches seen.
Total pitches shown: 238