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  • Projections
    In-house Bayesian model · career prior + aging × stuff/discipline signals
  • Plate Discipline
    Decision+ · chase / passive cost · K% · BB%
  • Command & Stuff
    Pitching+ · Stuff+ · Command+ · meatball rate
  • Pitcher Stuff Lab
    In-zone whiff · xwOBAcon · tunnel · deception · count predictability
  • Stuff Model (diag)
    From-scratch XGBoost training runs, feature importance, pitcher grades
  • Expected Points
    Luck-neutral fantasy points · xSLG / xwOBA · ΔPts
  • Hitter Frontier
    Power × discipline tradeoff · Pareto-frontier hitters
  • Pitcher Frontier
    Process × contact-suppression · pound the zone vs limit damage
  • Hitter Vulnerabilities
    Biggest pitch-trait strengths & weaknesses · vs league or vs own
  • AAA Hitters
    Triple-A bats · xwOBA · contact quality · discipline · frontier
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Position cohort

Hitting value vs. OF peers

Rank #132 of 234

Each bar is one OF, ordered left-to-right by Value (blended). Center dot is VORP; whiskers span V⁻ → V⁺. This player is highlighted in blue.

-500+50+100+150+200Garrett Mitchell
Garrett Mitchell · #60
V⁻ -53VORP -28V⁺ -11
Garrett Mitchell

Garrett Mitchell

OF·MIL
Compare
Compare
PA
203
H
40
HR
3
AVG
.234
xwOBA
.332
PPG
1.59
Career Seasons
YrGPAAVGOBPSLGISOxwOBAK%BB%K-BB%HRSBPtsPPGxPPG
Proj73314.226.318.371.146.31232.5%11.2%21.3%8121161.58—
202656203.234
2026 MLB Percentiles

Hitting Profile

203 PA — below qualified cutoff. Percentiles vs. qualified pool (faded).

Expected Results
xwOBA
47
.332
xBA
12
.222
.348
.380
.146
.332
36.0%
13.8%
22.2%
3
6
89
1.59
—
20252778.206.289.294.088.28832.1%9.0%23.1%04170.63—
202471225.254.341.467.213.31231.6%11.1%20.5%8121291.82—
20232473.246.319.446.200.29035.6%9.6%26.0%32371.54—
20222568.311.373.459.148.26941.2%8.8%32.4%29361.44—
xSLG
33
.397
Quality of Contact
Avg EV
86
91.9
Median EV
97
100.3
90th % EV
92
109.0
Barrel %
85
14.1
Hard-Hit %
82
49.5
Sweet-Spot %
13
31.3
Bat Speed
Avg
93
74.8
Median
94
76.1
90th %
92
80.5
Plate Discipline
Chase %
94
20.2
Whiff %
2
35.5
K %
0
36.0
BB %
83
13.8
Swing Decisions

Plate Discipline · Decision+

Expected-run-value of every swing-or-take decision, against a league-average batter’s optimum. 100 = avg · 110 = 1 SD better.

Decision+
97
≈ 39th pctl
Chase cost
-4.4r
45 swings @ bad pitch
Passive cost
-3.7r
47 takes @ hittable pitch
Swing rate
42.0%
307 pitches seen
Runs per 100
-2.65
lg avg -2.53
Count
View
1243121+20%15+44%9+20%10-17%641+36%11+29%14-32%28-41%22-22%9+14%73+60%10+10%10-31%16-13%15-50%20421+38%84+0%9442535CATCHER'S VIEW
Judgment — swing% vs optimal
−35%−15%0+15%+35%
  • Red cells — swings more than an optimal batter would here (chasing).
  • Blue cells — swings less than optimal (too passive).
  • Number in cell: swing%-delta vs optimal. Top-right: pitches seen.
Total pitches shown: 307