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  • Projections
    In-house Bayesian model · career prior + aging × stuff/discipline signals
  • Plate Discipline
    Decision+ · chase / passive cost · K% · BB%
  • Command & Stuff
    Pitching+ · Stuff+ · Command+ · meatball rate
  • Pitcher Stuff Lab
    In-zone whiff · xwOBAcon · tunnel · deception · count predictability
  • Stuff Model (diag)
    From-scratch XGBoost training runs, feature importance, pitcher grades
  • Expected Points
    Luck-neutral fantasy points · xSLG / xwOBA · ΔPts
  • Hitter Frontier
    Power × discipline tradeoff · Pareto-frontier hitters
  • Pitcher Frontier
    Process × contact-suppression · pound the zone vs limit damage
  • Hitter Vulnerabilities
    Biggest pitch-trait strengths & weaknesses · vs league or vs own
  • AAA Hitters
    Triple-A bats · xwOBA · contact quality · discipline · frontier
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Gavin Sheets

Gavin Sheets

1B / OF·SDP
Compare
Compare
PA
344
H
63
HR
10
AVG
.203
xwOBA
.274
PPG
1.14
Career Seasons
YrGPAAVGOBPSLGISOxwOBAK%BB%K-BB%HRSBPtsPPGxPPG
202659209.228.321.451.223.33523.0%11.0%12.0%1031121.90—
2025152546.252
2023 MLB Percentiles

Hitting Profile

344 PA — below qualified cutoff. Percentiles vs. qualified pool (faded).

Expected Results
xwOBA
0
.274
xBA
0
.208
.319
.428
.176
.343
19.6%
8.1%
11.5%
19
2
288
1.89
—
2024144502.232.305.356.124.31521.1%8.6%12.5%1021811.26—
2023125344.203.271.331.128.27419.2%8.1%11.1%1011431.14—
2022134410.241.297.411.170.28421.0%6.6%14.4%1502101.57—
202157180.248.324.503.255.33422.2%8.9%13.3%1101222.14—
xSLG
3
.347
Quality of Contact
Avg EV
22
88.1
Median EV
14
89.8
90th % EV
17
103.3
Barrel %
14
5.2
Hard-Hit %
10
32.5
Sweet-Spot %
5
30.5
Bat Speed
Avg
68
71.6
Median
67
72.7
90th %
46
76.3
Plate Discipline
Chase %
35
30.0
Whiff %
65
19.4
K %
58
19.2
BB %
38
8.1
Swing Decisions

Plate Discipline · Decision+

Expected-run-value of every swing-or-take decision, against a league-average batter’s optimum. 100 = avg · 110 = 1 SD better.

Decision+
91
≈ 18th pctl
Chase cost
-32.1r
278 swings @ bad pitch
Passive cost
-8.8r
191 takes @ hittable pitch
Swing rate
47.4%
1,421 pitches seen
Runs per 100
-2.87
lg avg -2.54
Count
View
45+6%16+23%13+0%75+0%8+29%14+28%25+6%35+20%45+41%29+58%19+33%9+33%30-17%63-37%63-35%66-11%47+65%34+59%17+28%18+8%38-17%58-18%51-14%37+89%185+27%15+29%17+13%16+15%13+23%1332+0%651321CATCHER'S VIEW
Judgment — swing% vs optimal
−35%−15%0+15%+35%
  • Red cells — swings more than an optimal batter would here (chasing).
  • Blue cells — swings less than optimal (too passive).
  • Number in cell: swing%-delta vs optimal. Top-right: pitches seen.
Total pitches shown: 1,000