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  • Projections
    In-house Bayesian model · career prior + aging × stuff/discipline signals
  • Plate Discipline
    Decision+ · chase / passive cost · K% · BB%
  • Command & Stuff
    Pitching+ · Stuff+ · Command+ · meatball rate
  • Pitcher Stuff Lab
    In-zone whiff · xwOBAcon · tunnel · deception · count predictability
  • Stuff Model (diag)
    From-scratch XGBoost training runs, feature importance, pitcher grades
  • Expected Points
    Luck-neutral fantasy points · xSLG / xwOBA · ΔPts
  • Hitter Frontier
    Power × discipline tradeoff · Pareto-frontier hitters
  • Pitcher Frontier
    Process × contact-suppression · pound the zone vs limit damage
  • Hitter Vulnerabilities
    Biggest pitch-trait strengths & weaknesses · vs league or vs own
  • AAA Hitters
    Triple-A bats · xwOBA · contact quality · discipline · frontier
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Gavin Sheets

Gavin Sheets

1B / OF·SDP
Compare
Compare
PA
502
H
105
HR
10
AVG
.232
xwOBA
.315
PPG
1.26
Career Seasons
YrGPAAVGOBPSLGISOxwOBAK%BB%K-BB%HRSBPtsPPGxPPG
202659209.228.321.451.223.33523.0%11.0%12.0%1031121.90—
2025152546.252
2024 MLB Percentiles

Hitting Profile

502 PA — below qualified cutoff. Percentiles vs. qualified pool (faded).

Expected Results
xwOBA
22
.315
xBA
48
.249
.319
.428
.176
.343
19.6%
8.1%
11.5%
19
2
288
1.89
—
2024144502.232.305.356.124.31521.1%8.6%12.5%1021811.26—
2023125344.203.271.331.128.27419.2%8.1%11.1%1011431.14—
2022134410.241.297.411.170.28421.0%6.6%14.4%1502101.57—
202157180.248.324.503.255.33422.2%8.9%13.3%1101222.14—
xSLG
15
.387
Quality of Contact
Avg EV
19
87.8
Median EV
19
90.5
90th % EV
35
104.0
Barrel %
18
5.7
Hard-Hit %
15
35.3
Sweet-Spot %
97
42.5
Bat Speed
Avg
60
70.8
Median
64
72.4
90th %
60
77.1
Plate Discipline
Chase %
21
32.2
Whiff %
57
20.9
K %
49
21.1
BB %
52
8.6
Swing Decisions

Plate Discipline · Decision+

Expected-run-value of every swing-or-take decision, against a league-average batter’s optimum. 100 = avg · 110 = 1 SD better.

Decision+
80
≈ 2th pctl
Chase cost
-48.8r
417 swings @ bad pitch
Passive cost
-17.1r
323 takes @ hittable pitch
Swing rate
46.1%
2,092 pitches seen
Runs per 100
-3.15
lg avg -2.53
Count
View
+0%6+25%12+0%8+22%9+0%11+0%62+38%13+27%26+20%60+26%58+51%35+28%185+36%28+14%51-30%56-42%59-9%43+46%26+40%10+40%30+7%55-38%52-33%43-26%50+56%165+55%11+43%14+44%16+31%26+36%11+64%11+17%62+33%9132CATCHER'S VIEW
Judgment — swing% vs optimal
−35%−15%0+15%+35%
  • Red cells — swings more than an optimal batter would here (chasing).
  • Blue cells — swings less than optimal (too passive).
  • Number in cell: swing%-delta vs optimal. Top-right: pitches seen.
Total pitches shown: 1,000