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  • Projections
    In-house Bayesian model · career prior + aging × stuff/discipline signals
  • Plate Discipline
    Decision+ · chase / passive cost · K% · BB%
  • Command & Stuff
    Pitching+ · Stuff+ · Command+ · meatball rate
  • Pitcher Stuff Lab
    In-zone whiff · xwOBAcon · tunnel · deception · count predictability
  • Stuff Model (diag)
    From-scratch XGBoost training runs, feature importance, pitcher grades
  • Expected Points
    Luck-neutral fantasy points · xSLG / xwOBA · ΔPts
  • Hitter Frontier
    Power × discipline tradeoff · Pareto-frontier hitters
  • Pitcher Frontier
    Process × contact-suppression · pound the zone vs limit damage
  • Hitter Vulnerabilities
    Biggest pitch-trait strengths & weaknesses · vs league or vs own
  • AAA Hitters
    Triple-A bats · xwOBA · contact quality · discipline · frontier
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Gavin Sheets

Gavin Sheets

1B / OF·SDP
Compare
Compare
PA
546
H
124
HR
19
AVG
.252
xwOBA
.343
PPG
1.89
Career Seasons
YrGPAAVGOBPSLGISOxwOBAK%BB%K-BB%HRSBPtsPPGxPPG
202659209.228.321.451.223.33523.0%11.0%12.0%1031121.90—
2025152546.252
2025 MLB Percentiles

Hitting Profile

Expected Results
xwOBA
62
.343
xBA
69
.265
xSLG
.319
.428
.176
.343
19.6%
8.1%
11.5%
19
2
288
1.89
—
2024144502.232.305.356.124.31521.1%8.6%12.5%1021811.26—
2023125344.203.271.331.128.27419.2%8.1%11.1%1011431.14—
2022134410.241.297.411.170.28421.0%6.6%14.4%1502101.57—
202157180.248.324.503.255.33422.2%8.9%13.3%1101222.14—
58
.456
Quality of Contact
Avg EV
40
89.9
Median EV
50
93.2
90th % EV
46
105.4
Barrel %
47
9.5
Hard-Hit %
62
46.5
Sweet-Spot %
82
39.3
Bat Speed
Avg
86
73.0
Median
88
74.6
90th %
82
78.9
Plate Discipline
Chase %
26
31.3
Whiff %
53
21.8
K %
54
19.6
BB %
43
8.1
Swing Decisions

Plate Discipline · Decision+

Expected-run-value of every swing-or-take decision, against a league-average batter’s optimum. 100 = avg · 110 = 1 SD better.

Decision+
87
≈ 11th pctl
Chase cost
-50.9r
447 swings @ bad pitch
Passive cost
-18.0r
379 takes @ hittable pitch
Swing rate
44.6%
2,314 pitches seen
Runs per 100
-2.98
lg avg -2.53
Count
View
+17%6+11%9+30%10+15%13+8%12+0%63+15%26+26%27+11%37+4%28+33%30+47%195+31%26+3%62-29%69-40%65-28%40+40%30+44%9+33%21+10%39-44%59-39%46-34%47+24%25+29%7+33%9+36%25+33%21+26%19+33%18+45%11435+33%632CATCHER'S VIEW
Judgment — swing% vs optimal
−35%−15%0+15%+35%
  • Red cells — swings more than an optimal batter would here (chasing).
  • Blue cells — swings less than optimal (too passive).
  • Number in cell: swing%-delta vs optimal. Top-right: pitches seen.
Total pitches shown: 1,000