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  • Projections
    In-house Bayesian model · career prior + aging × stuff/discipline signals
  • Plate Discipline
    Decision+ · chase / passive cost · K% · BB%
  • Command & Stuff
    Pitching+ · Stuff+ · Command+ · meatball rate
  • Pitcher Stuff Lab
    In-zone whiff · xwOBAcon · tunnel · deception · count predictability
  • Stuff Model (diag)
    From-scratch XGBoost training runs, feature importance, pitcher grades
  • Expected Points
    Luck-neutral fantasy points · xSLG / xwOBA · ΔPts
  • Hitter Frontier
    Power × discipline tradeoff · Pareto-frontier hitters
  • Pitcher Frontier
    Process × contact-suppression · pound the zone vs limit damage
  • Hitter Vulnerabilities
    Biggest pitch-trait strengths & weaknesses · vs league or vs own
  • AAA Hitters
    Triple-A bats · xwOBA · contact quality · discipline · frontier
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Position cohort

Hitting value vs. OF peers

Rank #14 of 234

Each bar is one OF, ordered left-to-right by Value (blended). Center dot is VORP; whiskers span V⁻ → V⁺. This player is highlighted in blue.

-500+50+100+150+200George Springer
George Springer · #14
V⁻ 12VORP 47V⁺ 84
George Springer

George Springer

OF·TOR
Compare
Compare
PA
201
H
36
HR
5
AVG
.202
xwOBA
.301
PPG
1.65
Career Seasons
YrGPAAVGOBPSLGISOxwOBAK%BB%K-BB%HRSBPtsPPGxPPG
Proj92396.253.334.439.186.34419.1%10.2%8.9%1682292.49—
202646201.202
2026 MLB Percentiles

Hitting Profile

201 PA — below qualified cutoff. Percentiles vs. qualified pool (faded).

Expected Results
xwOBA
18
.301
xBA
9
.219
.283
.343
.141
.301
19.4%
9.0%
10.4%
5
3
76
1.65
—
2025157586.309.402.560.251.41018.9%11.8%7.1%32175083.24—
2024149614.220.304.371.151.32718.7%9.8%8.9%19163122.09—
2023159683.258.329.405.147.33218.3%8.8%9.5%21203722.34—
2022143585.266.344.470.204.34917.1%9.2%7.9%25144072.85—
202180342.264.353.555.291.36723.1%10.8%12.3%2252433.04—
202065222.265.362.540.275.40817.1%10.8%6.3%1412143.29—
2019146556.292.386.591.299.40220.3%12.1%8.2%39105003.42—
2018152619.264.346.432.168.34719.7%10.3%9.4%2274172.74—
2017167633.280.366.517.237.38717.5%10.1%7.4%3465233.13—
xSLG
16
.364
Quality of Contact
Avg EV
26
87.9
Median EV
26
90.3
90th % EV
36
103.9
Barrel %
42
7.9
Hard-Hit %
23
36.7
Sweet-Spot %
7
30.2
Bat Speed
Avg
42
69.9
Median
72
73.8
90th %
69
78.2
Plate Discipline
Chase %
60
27.2
Whiff %
44
22.0
K %
53
19.4
BB %
44
9.0
Swing Decisions

Plate Discipline · Decision+

Expected-run-value of every swing-or-take decision, against a league-average batter’s optimum. 100 = avg · 110 = 1 SD better.

Decision+
111
≈ 87th pctl
Chase cost
-4.8r
45 swings @ bad pitch
Passive cost
-1.5r
32 takes @ hittable pitch
Swing rate
48.7%
306 pitches seen
Runs per 100
-2.05
lg avg -2.53
Count
View
122212+20%103-12%84531-30%10-31%16-13%15+9%23+29%73+33%9-9%11-15%27-39%18+0%14+50%633+33%12+26%19+15%1332+29%7252CATCHER'S VIEW
Judgment — swing% vs optimal
−35%−15%0+15%+35%
  • Red cells — swings more than an optimal batter would here (chasing).
  • Blue cells — swings less than optimal (too passive).
  • Number in cell: swing%-delta vs optimal. Top-right: pitches seen.
Total pitches shown: 306