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  • Projections
    In-house Bayesian model · career prior + aging × stuff/discipline signals
  • Plate Discipline
    Decision+ · chase / passive cost · K% · BB%
  • Command & Stuff
    Pitching+ · Stuff+ · Command+ · meatball rate
  • Pitcher Stuff Lab
    In-zone whiff · xwOBAcon · tunnel · deception · count predictability
  • Stuff Model (diag)
    From-scratch XGBoost training runs, feature importance, pitcher grades
  • Expected Points
    Luck-neutral fantasy points · xSLG / xwOBA · ΔPts
  • Hitter Frontier
    Power × discipline tradeoff · Pareto-frontier hitters
  • Pitcher Frontier
    Process × contact-suppression · pound the zone vs limit damage
  • Hitter Vulnerabilities
    Biggest pitch-trait strengths & weaknesses · vs league or vs own
  • AAA Hitters
    Triple-A bats · xwOBA · contact quality · discipline · frontier
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Giancarlo Stanton

Giancarlo Stanton

OF·NYY
Compare
Compare
PA
415
H
71
HR
24
AVG
.191
xwOBA
.329
PPG
1.66
Career Seasons
YrGPAAVGOBPSLGISOxwOBAK%BB%K-BB%HRSBPtsPPGxPPG
20262496.256.302.422.166.32630.2%6.3%23.9%31381.58—
202584281.273
2023 MLB Percentiles

Hitting Profile

415 PA — below qualified cutoff. Percentiles vs. qualified pool (faded).

Expected Results
xwOBA
38
.329
xBA
0
.211
.351
.594
.321
.361
34.2%
10.3%
23.9%
24
0
193
2.30
—
2024133461.232.298.473.241.35831.0%8.2%22.8%2713012.26—
2023106415.191.275.420.229.32929.9%9.9%20.0%2401761.66—
2022130453.211.298.461.250.35430.2%11.0%19.2%3102712.08—
2021145580.272.355.515.243.36327.1%10.9%16.2%3503452.38—
20203394.250.387.500.250.41628.7%16.0%12.7%411003.03—
20192672.288.408.492.204.39433.3%16.7%16.6%30602.31—
2018167709.264.346.506.242.34629.8%9.9%19.9%3864162.49—
2017166693.281.377.630.349.40823.5%12.3%11.2%5925783.48—
xSLG
69
.468
Quality of Contact
Avg EV
95
93.3
Median EV
74
94.1
90th % EV
100
112.4
Barrel %
93
15.7
Hard-Hit %
78
48.4
Sweet-Spot %
1
28.6
Bat Speed
Avg
100
79.2
Median
100
80.8
90th %
100
84.5
Plate Discipline
Chase %
54
27.2
Whiff %
3
32.4
K %
4
29.9
BB %
62
9.9
Swing Decisions

Plate Discipline · Decision+

Expected-run-value of every swing-or-take decision, against a league-average batter’s optimum. 100 = avg · 110 = 1 SD better.

Decision+
83
≈ 5th pctl
Chase cost
-37.1r
311 swings @ bad pitch
Passive cost
-18.6r
287 takes @ hittable pitch
Swing rate
42.8%
1,768 pitches seen
Runs per 100
-3.15
lg avg -2.54
Count
View
34+10%10+22%9+13%844+0%8+16%19-10%21+23%35+30%27+26%193+18%17+0%37-34%65-31%58-18%38+33%27+36%14+21%43+10%60-44%61-37%46-31%35+20%25+25%8+30%23+33%42+4%27+5%37-31%1645+0%8+29%7+0%9431CATCHER'S VIEW
Judgment — swing% vs optimal
−35%−15%0+15%+35%
  • Red cells — swings more than an optimal batter would here (chasing).
  • Blue cells — swings less than optimal (too passive).
  • Number in cell: swing%-delta vs optimal. Top-right: pitches seen.
Total pitches shown: 1,000