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  • Projections
    In-house Bayesian model · career prior + aging × stuff/discipline signals
  • Plate Discipline
    Decision+ · chase / passive cost · K% · BB%
  • Command & Stuff
    Pitching+ · Stuff+ · Command+ · meatball rate
  • Pitcher Stuff Lab
    In-zone whiff · xwOBAcon · tunnel · deception · count predictability
  • Stuff Model (diag)
    From-scratch XGBoost training runs, feature importance, pitcher grades
  • Expected Points
    Luck-neutral fantasy points · xSLG / xwOBA · ΔPts
  • Hitter Frontier
    Power × discipline tradeoff · Pareto-frontier hitters
  • Pitcher Frontier
    Process × contact-suppression · pound the zone vs limit damage
  • Hitter Vulnerabilities
    Biggest pitch-trait strengths & weaknesses · vs league or vs own
  • AAA Hitters
    Triple-A bats · xwOBA · contact quality · discipline · frontier
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Position cohort

Hitting value vs. OF peers

Rank #93 of 234

Each bar is one OF, ordered left-to-right by Value (blended). Center dot is VORP; whiskers span V⁻ → V⁺. This player is highlighted in blue.

-500+50+100+150+200Giancarlo Stanton
Giancarlo Stanton · #60
V⁻ -21VORP 5V⁺ 15
Giancarlo Stanton

Giancarlo Stanton

OF·NYY
Compare
Compare
PA
96
H
23
HR
3
AVG
.256
xwOBA
.326
PPG
1.58
Career Seasons
YrGPAAVGOBPSLGISOxwOBAK%BB%K-BB%HRSBPtsPPGxPPG
Proj50216.231.304.463.233.33830.4%9.3%21.1%1311062.13—
20262496.256
2026 MLB Percentiles

Hitting Profile

96 PA — below qualified cutoff. Percentiles vs. qualified pool (faded).

Expected Results
xwOBA
40
.326
xBA
33
.245
.302
.422
.166
.326
30.2%
6.3%
23.9%
3
1
38
1.58
—
202584281.273.351.594.321.36134.2%10.3%23.9%2401932.30—
2024133461.232.298.473.241.35831.0%8.2%22.8%2713012.26—
2023106415.191.275.420.229.32929.9%9.9%20.0%2401761.66—
2022130453.211.298.461.250.35430.2%11.0%19.2%3102712.08—
2021145580.272.355.515.243.36327.1%10.9%16.2%3503452.38—
20203394.250.387.500.250.41628.7%16.0%12.7%411003.03—
20192672.288.408.492.204.39433.3%16.7%16.6%30602.31—
2018167709.264.346.506.242.34629.8%9.9%19.9%3864162.49—
2017166693.281.377.630.349.40823.5%12.3%11.2%5925783.48—
xSLG
72
.467
Quality of Contact
Avg EV
94
94.1
Median EV
33
91.5
90th % EV
97
110.8
Barrel %
95
18.0
Hard-Hit %
58
44.3
Sweet-Spot %
81
39.3
Bat Speed
Avg
99
77.4
Median
99
79.5
90th %
98
82.7
Plate Discipline
Chase %
46
30.3
Whiff %
2
35.3
K %
10
30.2
BB %
14
6.3
Swing Decisions

Plate Discipline · Decision+

Expected-run-value of every swing-or-take decision, against a league-average batter’s optimum. 100 = avg · 110 = 1 SD better.

Decision+
105
≈ 69th pctl
Chase cost
-5.6r
60 swings @ bad pitch
Passive cost
-2.4r
53 takes @ hittable pitch
Swing rate
46.0%
346 pitches seen
Runs per 100
-2.33
lg avg -2.53
Count
View
221333144+23%13+29%7+45%11+14%7+17%65+7%15-35%17-15%20-32%19+30%101+33%6+6%16-47%19-33%21-41%17+56%92+33%6+45%11+13%16+14%14+14%73+13%82111CATCHER'S VIEW
Judgment — swing% vs optimal
−35%−15%0+15%+35%
  • Red cells — swings more than an optimal batter would here (chasing).
  • Blue cells — swings less than optimal (too passive).
  • Number in cell: swing%-delta vs optimal. Top-right: pitches seen.
Total pitches shown: 346