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  • Projections
    In-house Bayesian model · career prior + aging × stuff/discipline signals
  • Plate Discipline
    Decision+ · chase / passive cost · K% · BB%
  • Command & Stuff
    Pitching+ · Stuff+ · Command+ · meatball rate
  • Pitcher Stuff Lab
    In-zone whiff · xwOBAcon · tunnel · deception · count predictability
  • Stuff Model (diag)
    From-scratch XGBoost training runs, feature importance, pitcher grades
  • Expected Points
    Luck-neutral fantasy points · xSLG / xwOBA · ΔPts
  • Hitter Frontier
    Power × discipline tradeoff · Pareto-frontier hitters
  • Pitcher Frontier
    Process × contact-suppression · pound the zone vs limit damage
  • Hitter Vulnerabilities
    Biggest pitch-trait strengths & weaknesses · vs league or vs own
  • AAA Hitters
    Triple-A bats · xwOBA · contact quality · discipline · frontier
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Gio Urshela

Gio Urshela

3B·FA
Compare
Compare
PA
461
H
108
HR
9
AVG
.250
xwOBA
.308
PPG
1.52
Career Seasons
YrGPAAVGOBPSLGISOxwOBAK%BB%K-BB%HRSBPtsPPGxPPG
202560197.238.289.326.088.28720.3%6.6%13.7%00691.15—
2024132461.250
2024 MLB Percentiles

Hitting Profile

461 PA — below qualified cutoff. Percentiles vs. qualified pool (faded).

Expected Results
xwOBA
13
.308
xBA
78
.269
.289
.361
.111
.308
15.6%
5.0%
10.6%
9
0
201
1.52
—
202365228.299.333.374.075.29215.8%4.4%11.4%231101.69—
2022151551.285.342.429.144.32917.4%7.4%10.0%1313011.99—
2021123442.267.302.419.152.30124.7%4.5%20.2%1411831.49—
202052174.298.376.490.192.38314.4%10.3%4.1%611352.60—
2019141476.314.358.534.220.35018.3%5.3%13.0%2113482.47—
20181546.233.283.326.093.24421.7%4.3%17.4%10161.07—
201769165.224.262.288.064.28113.3%4.8%8.5%10691.00—
201580288.225.279.330.105.30120.1%6.3%13.8%60961.20—
xSLG
31
.409
Quality of Contact
Avg EV
10
86.3
Median EV
8
89.5
90th % EV
8
100.9
Barrel %
13
4.9
Hard-Hit %
5
28.2
Sweet-Spot %
84
39.7
Bat Speed
Avg
8
66.5
Median
6
67.5
90th %
10
73.2
Plate Discipline
Chase %
8
36.4
Whiff %
77
17.8
K %
82
15.6
BB %
6
5.0
Swing Decisions

Plate Discipline · Decision+

Expected-run-value of every swing-or-take decision, against a league-average batter’s optimum. 100 = avg · 110 = 1 SD better.

Decision+
100
≈ 50th pctl
Chase cost
-33.0r
370 swings @ bad pitch
Passive cost
-11.0r
206 takes @ hittable pitch
Swing rate
54.5%
1,738 pitches seen
Runs per 100
-2.53
lg avg -2.53
Count
View
212+38%821+50%6+50%10+43%14+56%16+61%23+43%14+25%12+73%15-4%28-24%49-13%63-24%46+55%33+33%9+61%18+6%49-26%66-28%68-8%61+41%27+29%7+32%25+34%35+21%47+5%39+24%34+21%14+0%6+8%12+16%19+22%18+7%14+18%1131CATCHER'S VIEW
Judgment — swing% vs optimal
−35%−15%0+15%+35%
  • Red cells — swings more than an optimal batter would here (chasing).
  • Blue cells — swings less than optimal (too passive).
  • Number in cell: swing%-delta vs optimal. Top-right: pitches seen.
Total pitches shown: 1,000