Grant Holmes

Grant Holmes

SP · ATL
MLBAM 656550
Seasons
YrBFK%BB%xwOBAPtsPPG
20268819.3%11.4%0.2855611.20
202549324.9%11.0%0.3311878.50
202428224.8%5.3%0.2981475.65

2026 MLB Percentile Rankings

Arsenal
FB Velocity
64
94.4
FB Spin
63
2336
Extension
9
5.95
Results
xwOBA
72
0.285
Barrel %
78
4.9
Hard-Hit %
69
36.1
K %
32
19.3
BB %
20
11.4
Chase %
44
29.2
Whiff %
91
29.5
Command & Stuff

Pitching+

Expected run-value conceded per pitch against a rational hitter, standardized against the season. 100 = avg · 110 = 1 SD better.

Pitching+
94
27th pctl
Stuff+
116
if they swing
Command+
93
out-of-zone take RV
Strike quality+
99
RV of in-zone pitches
Crushable pitches
8.4%
33 meatballs
Putaway counts (0-2, 1-2)
0.053
RV per pitch · league 0.042
+0.010 worse than avg · 101 pitches
Lower RV = more wasted whiff chances when they choose not to put hitters away.
Hitter's counts (3-0, 3-1, 2-0)
0.003
RV per pitch · league 0.029
-0.026 better than avg · 29 pitches
How often they groove get-me-overs vs. nibble safely.
Based on 395 pitches. RV = Statcast delta_run_exp; lower = better for the pitcher.

2026 Movement Profile (Induced Break)

MLB Avg.
6"12"18"24"24"24"24"1B ◀ MOVES TOWARD ▶ 3BMORERISEMOREDROPARMANGLE41°100 PITCHSAMPLE
SLFFCUSICHFC
Usage41%39%8%8%3%2%
MPH85.694.683.893.589.591.6
RHP Avg86.795.080.294.386.989.8

2026 Tunneling

Where pitches are when the hitter commits — and where they end up. Tighter cluster on the left = more deceptive arsenal.

At Decision
23 ft out · ~280ms before arrival
SLFFCUSICHFC-2-101212341B ◀ catcher view ▶ 3B
At the Plate
Where they actually cross
SLFFCUSICHFC-2-101212341B ◀ catcher view ▶ 3B
SLFFCUSICHFC

Decision point computed from Statcast kinematics (vx0/vy0/vz0, ax/ay/az) by projecting each pitch back to y = 23 ft. Coordinates in catcher’s view: 1B on the left, 3B on the right. RHP.

2026 Divergence from a Shared Origin

Every pitch type launched from the same decision-point — how far apart they end up by the plate. Bigger fan = harder arsenal to square up.

0.511.522.53DECISIONPOINTFF · 21FC · 28SI · 30CU · 31SL · 36CH · 36arm side ◀ ▶ glove sidedrops ◀ ▶ rises

Distances from origin (in inches) show how far each pitch type separates itself from the common launch point by plate arrival. RHP.