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    In-house Bayesian model · career prior + aging × stuff/discipline signals
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    Decision+ · chase / passive cost · K% · BB%
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    Pitching+ · Stuff+ · Command+ · meatball rate
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    In-zone whiff · xwOBAcon · tunnel · deception · count predictability
  • Stuff Model (diag)
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    Luck-neutral fantasy points · xSLG / xwOBA · ΔPts
  • Hitter Frontier
    Power × discipline tradeoff · Pareto-frontier hitters
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    Biggest pitch-trait strengths & weaknesses · vs league or vs own
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    Triple-A bats · xwOBA · contact quality · discipline · frontier
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Position cohort

Pitching value vs. SP peers

Rank #128 of 165

Each bar is one SP, ordered left-to-right by Value (blended). Center dot is VORP; whiskers span V⁻ → V⁺. This player is highlighted in blue.

0+50+100+150Grayson Rodriguez
Grayson Rodriguez · #60
V⁻ —VORP -42V⁺ —
Grayson Rodriguez

Grayson Rodriguez

SP·LAA
Compare
Compare
BF
123
K %
19.5%
BB %
12.2%
xwOBA
.403
PTS
5
PPG
0.83
Career Seasons
YrGGSIPWLSVHLDERAFIPK%BB%K-BB%xwOBABABIPLOB%GB%PtsPPG
Proj141473.045003.863.7024.7%8.4%16.3%————1369.72
2026 MLB Percentiles

Pitching Profile

123 BF — below qualified cutoff. Percentiles vs. qualified pool (faded).

Arsenal
FB Velo
86
96.4
FB Spin
52
2276
2026
6
6
25.7
2
2
0
0
8.42
5.63
19.5%
12.2%
7.3%
.403
.359
57.1%
33.7%
5
0.83
20242121119.7134003.763.5626.4%7.3%19.1%.304.30876.5%40.6%28913.76
20232525127.775004.863.8525.0%8.2%16.8%.318.32969.1%46.9%2148.56
Extension
97
7.18
Results
xwOBA
1
.403
Barrel %
14
10.8
Hard-Hit %
1
51.8
K %
34
19.5
BB %
4
12.2
Chase %
0
21.2
Whiff %
13
18.1