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  • Projections
    In-house Bayesian model · career prior + aging × stuff/discipline signals
  • Plate Discipline
    Decision+ · chase / passive cost · K% · BB%
  • Command & Stuff
    Pitching+ · Stuff+ · Command+ · meatball rate
  • Pitcher Stuff Lab
    In-zone whiff · xwOBAcon · tunnel · deception · count predictability
  • Stuff Model (diag)
    From-scratch XGBoost training runs, feature importance, pitcher grades
  • Expected Points
    Luck-neutral fantasy points · xSLG / xwOBA · ΔPts
  • Hitter Frontier
    Power × discipline tradeoff · Pareto-frontier hitters
  • Pitcher Frontier
    Process × contact-suppression · pound the zone vs limit damage
  • Hitter Vulnerabilities
    Biggest pitch-trait strengths & weaknesses · vs league or vs own
  • AAA Hitters
    Triple-A bats · xwOBA · contact quality · discipline · frontier
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Gunnar Henderson

Gunnar Henderson

SS·BAL
Compare
Compare
PA
622
H
143
HR
28
AVG
.255
xwOBA
.348
PPG
2.48
Career Seasons
YrGPAAVGOBPSLGISOxwOBAK%BB%K-BB%HRSBPtsPPGxPPG
202667303.224.288.419.195.30725.4%7.3%18.1%1361362.03—
2025154651.274
2023 MLB Percentiles

Hitting Profile

Expected Results
xwOBA
66
.348
xBA
48
.256
xSLG
.351
.438
.164
.345
21.0%
9.5%
11.5%
17
30
368
2.39
—
2024166719.281.366.529.248.37622.1%10.8%11.3%37215053.04—
2023158622.255.326.489.234.34825.6%9.0%16.6%28103922.48—
202235132.259.348.440.181.34425.8%12.1%13.7%41621.77—
73
.478
Quality of Contact
Avg EV
86
92.0
Median EV
91
95.5
90th % EV
75
106.9
Barrel %
72
11.4
Hard-Hit %
91
52.0
Sweet-Spot %
26
33.9
Bat Speed
Avg
89
74.1
Median
89
75.1
90th %
84
79.3
Plate Discipline
Chase %
59
26.6
Whiff %
36
24.4
K %
17
25.6
BB %
49
9.0
Swing Decisions

Plate Discipline · Decision+

Expected-run-value of every swing-or-take decision, against a league-average batter’s optimum. 100 = avg · 110 = 1 SD better.

Decision+
98
≈ 40th pctl
Chase cost
-42.7r
393 swings @ bad pitch
Passive cost
-22.4r
346 takes @ hittable pitch
Swing rate
46.6%
2,476 pitches seen
Runs per 100
-2.63
lg avg -2.54
Count
View
+11%9+36%11+22%9+20%15+0%11+0%61+17%12+30%30+16%49+24%51+14%35+30%204+38%13+5%41-20%74-30%53-12%60+38%24+36%11+22%18+7%43-23%52-15%61-19%43+58%19+50%6+43%7+56%16+19%16+42%24+37%19+33%63245+0%642CATCHER'S VIEW
Judgment — swing% vs optimal
−35%−15%0+15%+35%
  • Red cells — swings more than an optimal batter would here (chasing).
  • Blue cells — swings less than optimal (too passive).
  • Number in cell: swing%-delta vs optimal. Top-right: pitches seen.
Total pitches shown: 1,000