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  • Projections
    In-house Bayesian model · career prior + aging × stuff/discipline signals
  • Plate Discipline
    Decision+ · chase / passive cost · K% · BB%
  • Command & Stuff
    Pitching+ · Stuff+ · Command+ · meatball rate
  • Pitcher Stuff Lab
    In-zone whiff · xwOBAcon · tunnel · deception · count predictability
  • Stuff Model (diag)
    From-scratch XGBoost training runs, feature importance, pitcher grades
  • Expected Points
    Luck-neutral fantasy points · xSLG / xwOBA · ΔPts
  • Hitter Frontier
    Power × discipline tradeoff · Pareto-frontier hitters
  • Pitcher Frontier
    Process × contact-suppression · pound the zone vs limit damage
  • Hitter Vulnerabilities
    Biggest pitch-trait strengths & weaknesses · vs league or vs own
  • AAA Hitters
    Triple-A bats · xwOBA · contact quality · discipline · frontier
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Gunnar Henderson

Gunnar Henderson

SS·BAL
Compare
Compare
PA
719
H
177
HR
37
AVG
.281
xwOBA
.376
PPG
3.04
Career Seasons
YrGPAAVGOBPSLGISOxwOBAK%BB%K-BB%HRSBPtsPPGxPPG
202670321.226.294.421.195.31024.6%7.8%16.8%1461492.13—
2025154651.274
2024 MLB Percentiles

Hitting Profile

Expected Results
xwOBA
88
.376
xBA
81
.274
xSLG
.351
.438
.164
.345
21.0%
9.5%
11.5%
17
30
368
2.39
—
2024166719.281.366.529.248.37622.1%10.8%11.3%37215053.04—
2023158622.255.326.489.234.34825.6%9.0%16.6%28103922.48—
202235132.259.348.440.181.34425.8%12.1%13.7%41621.77—
86
.493
Quality of Contact
Avg EV
90
92.8
Median EV
93
96.3
90th % EV
84
108.1
Barrel %
66
11.2
Hard-Hit %
94
53.9
Sweet-Spot %
45
35.4
Bat Speed
Avg
95
74.7
Median
93
75.8
90th %
92
80.4
Plate Discipline
Chase %
81
23.2
Whiff %
48
22.3
K %
41
22.1
BB %
77
10.8
Swing Decisions

Plate Discipline · Decision+

Expected-run-value of every swing-or-take decision, against a league-average batter’s optimum. 100 = avg · 110 = 1 SD better.

Decision+
101
≈ 55th pctl
Chase cost
-48.2r
431 swings @ bad pitch
Passive cost
-24.1r
396 takes @ hittable pitch
Swing rate
44.3%
2,905 pitches seen
Runs per 100
-2.49
lg avg -2.53
Count
View
2+7%15+0%22+0%12+11%9+0%82+13%15+7%28+16%50+8%37-6%34+32%19+0%6+39%23+11%54-26%73-31%68-21%48+26%27+38%8+31%32+20%51-26%61-22%46-17%35+53%195+13%8+36%25+28%18-11%18+47%17+57%71+17%6424+67%63CATCHER'S VIEW
Judgment — swing% vs optimal
−35%−15%0+15%+35%
  • Red cells — swings more than an optimal batter would here (chasing).
  • Blue cells — swings less than optimal (too passive).
  • Number in cell: swing%-delta vs optimal. Top-right: pitches seen.
Total pitches shown: 1,000