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  • Projections
    In-house Bayesian model · career prior + aging × stuff/discipline signals
  • Plate Discipline
    Decision+ · chase / passive cost · K% · BB%
  • Command & Stuff
    Pitching+ · Stuff+ · Command+ · meatball rate
  • Pitcher Stuff Lab
    In-zone whiff · xwOBAcon · tunnel · deception · count predictability
  • Stuff Model (diag)
    From-scratch XGBoost training runs, feature importance, pitcher grades
  • Expected Points
    Luck-neutral fantasy points · xSLG / xwOBA · ΔPts
  • Hitter Frontier
    Power × discipline tradeoff · Pareto-frontier hitters
  • Pitcher Frontier
    Process × contact-suppression · pound the zone vs limit damage
  • Hitter Vulnerabilities
    Biggest pitch-trait strengths & weaknesses · vs league or vs own
  • AAA Hitters
    Triple-A bats · xwOBA · contact quality · discipline · frontier
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Gunnar Henderson

Gunnar Henderson

SS·BAL
Compare
Compare
PA
651
H
158
HR
17
AVG
.274
xwOBA
.345
PPG
2.39
Career Seasons
YrGPAAVGOBPSLGISOxwOBAK%BB%K-BB%HRSBPtsPPGxPPG
202667303.224.288.419.195.30725.4%7.3%18.1%1361362.03—
2025154651.274
2025 MLB Percentiles

Hitting Profile

Expected Results
xwOBA
65
.345
xBA
79
.271
xSLG
.351
.438
.164
.345
21.0%
9.5%
11.5%
17
30
368
2.39
—
2024166719.281.366.529.248.37622.1%10.8%11.3%37215053.04—
2023158622.255.326.489.234.34825.6%9.0%16.6%28103922.48—
202235132.259.348.440.181.34425.8%12.1%13.7%41621.77—
37
.421
Quality of Contact
Avg EV
85
92.1
Median EV
81
94.8
90th % EV
66
106.8
Barrel %
38
8.5
Hard-Hit %
80
49.0
Sweet-Spot %
6
31.7
Bat Speed
Avg
92
73.7
Median
90
74.9
90th %
90
80.1
Plate Discipline
Chase %
44
27.7
Whiff %
41
23.1
K %
47
21.0
BB %
62
9.5
Swing Decisions

Plate Discipline · Decision+

Expected-run-value of every swing-or-take decision, against a league-average batter’s optimum. 100 = avg · 110 = 1 SD better.

Decision+
97
≈ 39th pctl
Chase cost
-45.1r
435 swings @ bad pitch
Passive cost
-20.4r
355 takes @ hittable pitch
Swing rate
47.5%
2,499 pitches seen
Runs per 100
-2.62
lg avg -2.53
Count
View
25+22%9+18%115+0%64+11%18+35%20+26%38+0%35+28%29+33%24+0%9+41%27+22%49-30%57-31%64-12%64+54%26+43%14+29%21+3%38-38%58-26%57-27%37+36%22+44%9+10%10+54%26+3%33+19%27+10%10+26%192335+0%612CATCHER'S VIEW
Judgment — swing% vs optimal
−35%−15%0+15%+35%
  • Red cells — swings more than an optimal batter would here (chasing).
  • Blue cells — swings less than optimal (too passive).
  • Number in cell: swing%-delta vs optimal. Top-right: pitches seen.
Total pitches shown: 1,000