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  • Projections
    In-house Bayesian model · career prior + aging × stuff/discipline signals
  • Plate Discipline
    Decision+ · chase / passive cost · K% · BB%
  • Command & Stuff
    Pitching+ · Stuff+ · Command+ · meatball rate
  • Pitcher Stuff Lab
    In-zone whiff · xwOBAcon · tunnel · deception · count predictability
  • Stuff Model (diag)
    From-scratch XGBoost training runs, feature importance, pitcher grades
  • Expected Points
    Luck-neutral fantasy points · xSLG / xwOBA · ΔPts
  • Hitter Frontier
    Power × discipline tradeoff · Pareto-frontier hitters
  • Pitcher Frontier
    Process × contact-suppression · pound the zone vs limit damage
  • Hitter Vulnerabilities
    Biggest pitch-trait strengths & weaknesses · vs league or vs own
  • AAA Hitters
    Triple-A bats · xwOBA · contact quality · discipline · frontier
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Position cohort

Hitting value vs. OF peers

Rank #103 of 234

Each bar is one OF, ordered left-to-right by Value (blended). Center dot is VORP; whiskers span V⁻ → V⁺. This player is highlighted in blue.

-500+50+100+150+200Harrison Bader
Harrison Bader · #60
V⁻ -19VORP -10V⁺ 17
Harrison Bader

Harrison Bader

OF·SFG
Compare
Compare
PA
111
H
18
HR
5
AVG
.170
xwOBA
.272
PPG
1.07
Career Seasons
YrGPAAVGOBPSLGISOxwOBAK%BB%K-BB%HRSBPtsPPGxPPG
Proj60261.236.294.383.147.30224.4%6.3%18.0%771101.83—
202630111.170
2026 MLB Percentiles

Hitting Profile

111 PA — below qualified cutoff. Percentiles vs. qualified pool (faded).

Expected Results
xwOBA
4
.272
xBA
7
.214
.200
.358
.188
.272
30.6%
3.6%
27.0%
5
0
32
1.07
—
2025144503.276.348.447.171.29727.0%7.8%19.2%17122411.67—
2024142437.236.288.373.137.30021.7%4.8%16.9%12202181.54—
202393345.231.276.347.116.28817.1%4.9%12.2%7181731.86—
2022102314.249.295.355.106.27319.7%4.8%14.9%5181981.94—
2021105402.266.325.459.193.29721.1%6.7%14.4%1692232.12—
202047125.226.339.443.217.32332.0%10.4%21.6%43591.26—
2019134408.203.314.364.161.31928.7%11.3%17.4%12121771.32—
2018131428.263.336.421.158.28929.2%7.2%22.0%12151971.50—
20173692.235.286.376.141.30426.1%5.4%20.7%33431.19—
xSLG
16
.366
Quality of Contact
Avg EV
39
89.2
Median EV
19
89.5
90th % EV
22
102.4
Barrel %
43
8.2
Hard-Hit %
41
41.1
Sweet-Spot %
24
32.9
Bat Speed
Avg
61
71.0
Median
53
72.1
90th %
60
77.4
Plate Discipline
Chase %
7
38.7
Whiff %
11
29.9
K %
8
30.6
BB %
4
3.6
Swing Decisions

Plate Discipline · Decision+

Expected-run-value of every swing-or-take decision, against a league-average batter’s optimum. 100 = avg · 110 = 1 SD better.

Decision+
88
≈ 11th pctl
Chase cost
-4.5r
53 swings @ bad pitch
Passive cost
-1.8r
25 takes @ hittable pitch
Swing rate
53.9%
206 pitches seen
Runs per 100
-3.04
lg avg -2.53
Count
View
124+14%7415-20%10-18%115+56%9153+30%10-44%16-23%13-12%84+17%6+25%8+25%12+11%9433+50%6+14%71111CATCHER'S VIEW
Judgment — swing% vs optimal
−35%−15%0+15%+35%
  • Red cells — swings more than an optimal batter would here (chasing).
  • Blue cells — swings less than optimal (too passive).
  • Number in cell: swing%-delta vs optimal. Top-right: pitches seen.
Total pitches shown: 206