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  • Projections
    In-house Bayesian model · career prior + aging × stuff/discipline signals
  • Plate Discipline
    Decision+ · chase / passive cost · K% · BB%
  • Command & Stuff
    Pitching+ · Stuff+ · Command+ · meatball rate
  • Pitcher Stuff Lab
    In-zone whiff · xwOBAcon · tunnel · deception · count predictability
  • Stuff Model (diag)
    From-scratch XGBoost training runs, feature importance, pitcher grades
  • Expected Points
    Luck-neutral fantasy points · xSLG / xwOBA · ΔPts
  • Hitter Frontier
    Power × discipline tradeoff · Pareto-frontier hitters
  • Pitcher Frontier
    Process × contact-suppression · pound the zone vs limit damage
  • Hitter Vulnerabilities
    Biggest pitch-trait strengths & weaknesses · vs league or vs own
  • AAA Hitters
    Triple-A bats · xwOBA · contact quality · discipline · frontier
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Henry Davis

Henry Davis

C·PIT
Compare
Compare
PA
255
H
48
HR
7
AVG
.213
xwOBA
.293
PPG
1.50
Career Seasons
YrGPAAVGOBPSLGISOxwOBAK%BB%K-BB%HRSBPtsPPGxPPG
202640139.140.241.289.149.29520.1%9.4%10.7%51531.33—
202582283.167
2023 MLB Percentiles

Hitting Profile

255 PA — below qualified cutoff. Percentiles vs. qualified pool (faded).

Expected Results
xwOBA
5
.293
xBA
3
.219
.236
.278
.111
.297
26.9%
6.4%
20.5%
7
2
62
0.76
—
202437123.143.244.210.067.23036.6%10.6%26.0%10100.27—
202362255.213.303.351.138.29327.1%9.8%17.3%73931.50—
xSLG
2
.345
Quality of Contact
Avg EV
33
88.6
Median EV
55
92.6
90th % EV
53
105.3
Barrel %
33
7.0
Hard-Hit %
46
41.4
Sweet-Spot %
47
35.7
Bat Speed
Avg
61
71.0
Median
69
73.0
90th %
65
77.5
Plate Discipline
Chase %
40
29.2
Whiff %
28
25.7
K %
14
27.1
BB %
59
9.8
Swing Decisions

Plate Discipline · Decision+

Expected-run-value of every swing-or-take decision, against a league-average batter’s optimum. 100 = avg · 110 = 1 SD better.

Decision+
93
≈ 24th pctl
Chase cost
-19.0r
187 swings @ bad pitch
Passive cost
-9.9r
162 takes @ hittable pitch
Swing rate
44.5%
1,031 pitches seen
Runs per 100
-2.80
lg avg -2.54
Count
View
22+0%105212+21%14+30%23-24%33+8%26+19%26+23%135+24%21-2%47-26%70-33%58-24%37+42%19+18%11+53%15+21%48-29%62-36%69-15%34+57%30+14%7+14%28+41%54+24%42+9%32+0%9+29%73+15%13+9%1112421CATCHER'S VIEW
Judgment — swing% vs optimal
−35%−15%0+15%+35%
  • Red cells — swings more than an optimal batter would here (chasing).
  • Blue cells — swings less than optimal (too passive).
  • Number in cell: swing%-delta vs optimal. Top-right: pitches seen.
Total pitches shown: 1,000