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  • Projections
    In-house Bayesian model · career prior + aging × stuff/discipline signals
  • Plate Discipline
    Decision+ · chase / passive cost · K% · BB%
  • Command & Stuff
    Pitching+ · Stuff+ · Command+ · meatball rate
  • Pitcher Stuff Lab
    In-zone whiff · xwOBAcon · tunnel · deception · count predictability
  • Stuff Model (diag)
    From-scratch XGBoost training runs, feature importance, pitcher grades
  • Expected Points
    Luck-neutral fantasy points · xSLG / xwOBA · ΔPts
  • Hitter Frontier
    Power × discipline tradeoff · Pareto-frontier hitters
  • Pitcher Frontier
    Process × contact-suppression · pound the zone vs limit damage
  • Hitter Vulnerabilities
    Biggest pitch-trait strengths & weaknesses · vs league or vs own
  • AAA Hitters
    Triple-A bats · xwOBA · contact quality · discipline · frontier
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Henry Davis

Henry Davis

C·PIT
Compare
Compare
PA
283
H
42
HR
7
AVG
.167
xwOBA
.297
PPG
0.76
Career Seasons
YrGPAAVGOBPSLGISOxwOBAK%BB%K-BB%HRSBPtsPPGxPPG
202640139.140.241.289.149.29520.1%9.4%10.7%51531.33—
202582283.167
2025 MLB Percentiles

Hitting Profile

283 PA — below qualified cutoff. Percentiles vs. qualified pool (faded).

Expected Results
xwOBA
5
.297
xBA
2
.217
.236
.278
.111
.297
26.9%
6.4%
20.5%
7
2
62
0.76
—
202437123.143.244.210.067.23036.6%10.6%26.0%10100.27—
202362255.213.303.351.138.29327.1%9.8%17.3%73931.50—
xSLG
23
.399
Quality of Contact
Avg EV
16
87.6
Median EV
20
90.8
90th % EV
50
105.6
Barrel %
66
11.5
Hard-Hit %
19
37.4
Sweet-Spot %
23
34.1
Bat Speed
Avg
74
72.0
Median
77
73.7
90th %
70
78.3
Plate Discipline
Chase %
15
34.0
Whiff %
28
26.1
K %
9
26.9
BB %
24
6.4
Swing Decisions

Plate Discipline · Decision+

Expected-run-value of every swing-or-take decision, against a league-average batter’s optimum. 100 = avg · 110 = 1 SD better.

Decision+
93
≈ 25th pctl
Chase cost
-22.2r
223 swings @ bad pitch
Passive cost
-7.3r
118 takes @ hittable pitch
Swing rate
55.1%
1,064 pitches seen
Runs per 100
-2.77
lg avg -2.53
Count
View
1325131+0%6+42%12-21%19+35%23+45%20+33%92+44%16-3%36-29%49-25%61-6%47+44%27+36%11+43%21+17%53-20%79-11%64-23%47+37%30+56%16+37%30+31%36+37%38+20%35+24%25+47%175+11%18+33%12+27%11+17%6+0%71CATCHER'S VIEW
Judgment — swing% vs optimal
−35%−15%0+15%+35%
  • Red cells — swings more than an optimal batter would here (chasing).
  • Blue cells — swings less than optimal (too passive).
  • Number in cell: swing%-delta vs optimal. Top-right: pitches seen.
Total pitches shown: 1,000