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  • Projections
    In-house Bayesian model · career prior + aging × stuff/discipline signals
  • Plate Discipline
    Decision+ · chase / passive cost · K% · BB%
  • Command & Stuff
    Pitching+ · Stuff+ · Command+ · meatball rate
  • Pitcher Stuff Lab
    In-zone whiff · xwOBAcon · tunnel · deception · count predictability
  • Stuff Model (diag)
    From-scratch XGBoost training runs, feature importance, pitcher grades
  • Expected Points
    Luck-neutral fantasy points · xSLG / xwOBA · ΔPts
  • Hitter Frontier
    Power × discipline tradeoff · Pareto-frontier hitters
  • Pitcher Frontier
    Process × contact-suppression · pound the zone vs limit damage
  • Hitter Vulnerabilities
    Biggest pitch-trait strengths & weaknesses · vs league or vs own
  • AAA Hitters
    Triple-A bats · xwOBA · contact quality · discipline · frontier
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Position cohort

Hitting value vs. C peers

Rank #37 of 66

Each bar is one C, ordered left-to-right by Value (blended). Center dot is VORP; whiskers span V⁻ → V⁺. This player is highlighted in blue.

-300-200-1000+100Henry Davis
Henry Davis · #37
V⁻ -19VORP -260V⁺ 5
Henry Davis

Henry Davis

C·PIT
Compare
Compare
PA
139
H
17
HR
5
AVG
.140
xwOBA
.295
PPG
1.33
Career Seasons
YrGPAAVGOBPSLGISOxwOBAK%BB%K-BB%HRSBPtsPPGxPPG
Proj41163.221.298.372.151.30224.1%8.3%15.8%52681.66—
202640139.140
2026 MLB Percentiles

Hitting Profile

139 PA — below qualified cutoff. Percentiles vs. qualified pool (faded).

Expected Results
xwOBA
11
.295
xBA
3
.203
.241
.289
.149
.295
20.1%
9.4%
10.7%
5
1
53
1.33
—
202582283.167.236.278.111.29726.9%6.4%20.5%72620.76—
202437123.143.244.210.067.23036.6%10.6%26.0%10100.27—
202362255.213.303.351.138.29327.1%9.8%17.3%73931.50—
xSLG
12
.355
Quality of Contact
Avg EV
36
88.9
Median EV
31
91.1
90th % EV
56
105.7
Barrel %
68
11.6
Hard-Hit %
30
37.9
Sweet-Spot %
3
27.4
Bat Speed
Avg
73
72.5
Median
89
75.4
90th %
80
79.1
Plate Discipline
Chase %
45
30.4
Whiff %
41
22.4
K %
50
20.1
BB %
51
9.4
Swing Decisions

Plate Discipline · Decision+

Expected-run-value of every swing-or-take decision, against a league-average batter’s optimum. 100 = avg · 110 = 1 SD better.

Decision+
103
≈ 61th pctl
Chase cost
-3.4r
33 swings @ bad pitch
Passive cost
-1.6r
29 takes @ hittable pitch
Swing rate
47.6%
208 pitches seen
Runs per 100
-2.41
lg avg -2.53
Count
View
12234+13%84315-40%10-29%14-11%9+25%842+33%6+38%8-33%18-17%18-33%613+43%7+13%8+0%9+43%721114331CATCHER'S VIEW
Judgment — swing% vs optimal
−35%−15%0+15%+35%
  • Red cells — swings more than an optimal batter would here (chasing).
  • Blue cells — swings less than optimal (too passive).
  • Number in cell: swing%-delta vs optimal. Top-right: pitches seen.
Total pitches shown: 208