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  • Projections
    In-house Bayesian model · career prior + aging × stuff/discipline signals
  • Plate Discipline
    Decision+ · chase / passive cost · K% · BB%
  • Command & Stuff
    Pitching+ · Stuff+ · Command+ · meatball rate
  • Pitcher Stuff Lab
    In-zone whiff · xwOBAcon · tunnel · deception · count predictability
  • Stuff Model (diag)
    From-scratch XGBoost training runs, feature importance, pitcher grades
  • Expected Points
    Luck-neutral fantasy points · xSLG / xwOBA · ΔPts
  • Hitter Frontier
    Power × discipline tradeoff · Pareto-frontier hitters
  • Pitcher Frontier
    Process × contact-suppression · pound the zone vs limit damage
  • Hitter Vulnerabilities
    Biggest pitch-trait strengths & weaknesses · vs league or vs own
  • AAA Hitters
    Triple-A bats · xwOBA · contact quality · discipline · frontier
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Position cohort

Hitting value vs. OF peers

Rank #142 of 234

Each bar is one OF, ordered left-to-right by Value (blended). Center dot is VORP; whiskers span V⁻ → V⁺. This player is highlighted in blue.

-500+50+100+150+200Heriberto Hernández
Heriberto Hernández · #60
V⁻ -21VORP -5V⁺ 9
Heriberto Hernández

Heriberto Hernández

OF·MIA
Compare
Compare
PA
128
H
25
HR
5
AVG
.219
xwOBA
.352
PPG
1.55
Career Seasons
YrGPAAVGOBPSLGISOxwOBAK%BB%K-BB%HRSBPtsPPGxPPG
Proj31134.230.310.393.164.31627.4%10.0%17.4%42561.82—
202640128.219
2026 MLB Percentiles

Hitting Profile

128 PA — below qualified cutoff. Percentiles vs. qualified pool (faded).

Expected Results
xwOBA
64
.352
xBA
52
.258
.299
.368
.149
.352
24.2%
9.4%
14.8%
5
5
62
1.55
—
202586296.264.349.434.170.33526.0%10.5%15.5%1011551.80—
xSLG
70
.466
Quality of Contact
Avg EV
74
90.8
Median EV
54
93.0
90th % EV
48
104.9
Barrel %
55
9.5
Hard-Hit %
65
45.2
Sweet-Spot %
26
33.3
Bat Speed
Avg
78
72.9
Median
73
73.9
90th %
67
78.0
Plate Discipline
Chase %
72
25.9
Whiff %
10
30.1
K %
28
24.2
BB %
51
9.4
Swing Decisions

Plate Discipline · Decision+

Expected-run-value of every swing-or-take decision, against a league-average batter’s optimum. 100 = avg · 110 = 1 SD better.

Decision+
121
≈ 98th pctl
Chase cost
-2.5r
23 swings @ bad pitch
Passive cost
-1.3r
26 takes @ hittable pitch
Swing rate
37.6%
229 pitches seen
Runs per 100
-1.65
lg avg -2.53
Count
View
1123114+8%13+43%7+17%123155-19%16-17%12+17%651+17%12-17%12-10%10-40%15-53%15333+29%7+13%842412+0%611CATCHER'S VIEW
Judgment — swing% vs optimal
−35%−15%0+15%+35%
  • Red cells — swings more than an optimal batter would here (chasing).
  • Blue cells — swings less than optimal (too passive).
  • Number in cell: swing%-delta vs optimal. Top-right: pitches seen.
Total pitches shown: 229