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  • Projections
    In-house Bayesian model · career prior + aging × stuff/discipline signals
  • Plate Discipline
    Decision+ · chase / passive cost · K% · BB%
  • Command & Stuff
    Pitching+ · Stuff+ · Command+ · meatball rate
  • Pitcher Stuff Lab
    In-zone whiff · xwOBAcon · tunnel · deception · count predictability
  • Stuff Model (diag)
    From-scratch XGBoost training runs, feature importance, pitcher grades
  • Expected Points
    Luck-neutral fantasy points · xSLG / xwOBA · ΔPts
  • Hitter Frontier
    Power × discipline tradeoff · Pareto-frontier hitters
  • Pitcher Frontier
    Process × contact-suppression · pound the zone vs limit damage
  • Hitter Vulnerabilities
    Biggest pitch-trait strengths & weaknesses · vs league or vs own
  • AAA Hitters
    Triple-A bats · xwOBA · contact quality · discipline · frontier
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Isaac Collins

Isaac Collins

OF·KCR
Compare
Compare
PA
442
H
98
HR
9
AVG
.263
xwOBA
.323
PPG
1.83
Career Seasons
YrGPAAVGOBPSLGISOxwOBAK%BB%K-BB%HRSBPtsPPGxPPG
202656215.215.341.305.090.30126.0%14.0%12.0%33731.30—
2025135442.263
2025 MLB Percentiles

Hitting Profile

442 PA — below qualified cutoff. Percentiles vs. qualified pool (faded).

Expected Results
xwOBA
34
.323
xBA
36
.245
.369
.410
.147
.323
21.0%
12.9%
8.1%
9
16
247
1.83
—
2024919.118.211.118.000.18352.6%10.5%42.1%01-5-0.56—
xSLG
5
.358
Quality of Contact
Avg EV
18
87.8
Median EV
23
91.3
90th % EV
27
104.0
Barrel %
9
4.9
Hard-Hit %
23
38.9
Sweet-Spot %
46
35.8
Bat Speed
Avg
51
70.5
Median
56
72.4
90th %
44
76.5
Plate Discipline
Chase %
96
18.2
Whiff %
61
21.0
K %
47
21.0
BB %
87
12.9
Swing Decisions

Plate Discipline · Decision+

Expected-run-value of every swing-or-take decision, against a league-average batter’s optimum. 100 = avg · 110 = 1 SD better.

Decision+
118
≈ 97th pctl
Chase cost
-18.4r
186 swings @ bad pitch
Passive cost
-15.0r
280 takes @ hittable pitch
Swing rate
42.9%
1,794 pitches seen
Runs per 100
-1.86
lg avg -2.53
Count
View
452+0%134+0%64+33%6+24%21+10%31+3%33-7%28+0%165+47%15-7%45-29%69-24%66-15%54+10%30+0%12+31%29-10%52-33%67-22%72-33%54+27%22+0%10+30%10+17%18-6%36-4%26-25%12+0%14+0%102+0%7+0%742-17%63CATCHER'S VIEW
Judgment — swing% vs optimal
−35%−15%0+15%+35%
  • Red cells — swings more than an optimal batter would here (chasing).
  • Blue cells — swings less than optimal (too passive).
  • Number in cell: swing%-delta vs optimal. Top-right: pitches seen.
Total pitches shown: 1,000