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  • Projections
    In-house Bayesian model · career prior + aging × stuff/discipline signals
  • Plate Discipline
    Decision+ · chase / passive cost · K% · BB%
  • Command & Stuff
    Pitching+ · Stuff+ · Command+ · meatball rate
  • Pitcher Stuff Lab
    In-zone whiff · xwOBAcon · tunnel · deception · count predictability
  • Stuff Model (diag)
    From-scratch XGBoost training runs, feature importance, pitcher grades
  • Expected Points
    Luck-neutral fantasy points · xSLG / xwOBA · ΔPts
  • Hitter Frontier
    Power × discipline tradeoff · Pareto-frontier hitters
  • Pitcher Frontier
    Process × contact-suppression · pound the zone vs limit damage
  • Hitter Vulnerabilities
    Biggest pitch-trait strengths & weaknesses · vs league or vs own
  • AAA Hitters
    Triple-A bats · xwOBA · contact quality · discipline · frontier
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Isaac Paredes

Isaac Paredes

3B·HOU
Compare
Compare
PA
574
H
123
HR
31
AVG
.248
xwOBA
.316
PPG
2.64
Career Seasons
YrGPAAVGOBPSLGISOxwOBAK%BB%K-BB%HRSBPtsPPGxPPG
202663257.241.333.415.174.31716.3%9.3%7.0%901442.29—
2025106439.253
2023 MLB Percentiles

Hitting Profile

Expected Results
xwOBA
18
.316
xBA
6
.225
xSLG
.352
.456
.203
.322
17.3%
11.4%
5.9%
20
0
276
2.60
—
2024158642.238.349.392.154.31116.4%11.8%4.6%1913472.20—
2023146574.248.351.485.237.31618.1%10.1%8.0%3113862.64—
2022115382.205.305.434.229.30217.5%11.5%6.0%2002312.01—
20212985.208.313.319.111.29412.9%11.8%1.1%10411.41—
202032108.220.278.290.070.24722.2%7.4%14.8%10260.81—
8
.370
Quality of Contact
Avg EV
10
86.9
Median EV
7
88.8
90th % EV
5
100.9
Barrel %
20
5.9
Hard-Hit %
7
28.5
Sweet-Spot %
25
33.7
Bat Speed
Avg
9
66.5
Median
7
67.5
90th %
9
73.0
Plate Discipline
Chase %
43
28.4
Whiff %
77
17.2
K %
66
18.1
BB %
64
10.1
Swing Decisions

Plate Discipline · Decision+

Expected-run-value of every swing-or-take decision, against a league-average batter’s optimum. 100 = avg · 110 = 1 SD better.

Decision+
100
≈ 50th pctl
Chase cost
-47.2r
435 swings @ bad pitch
Passive cost
-14.8r
329 takes @ hittable pitch
Swing rate
45.6%
2,442 pitches seen
Runs per 100
-2.54
lg avg -2.54
Count
View
132+17%643+29%17+10%21+6%18+23%13+14%72+44%18+3%32-12%50-29%58-26%46+62%26+67%9+41%22+5%55-37%70-33%63-12%32+52%253+33%24+38%47+25%61+24%42+14%29+33%94+8%26+4%25+21%19+40%10+0%921CATCHER'S VIEW
Judgment — swing% vs optimal
−35%−15%0+15%+35%
  • Red cells — swings more than an optimal batter would here (chasing).
  • Blue cells — swings less than optimal (too passive).
  • Number in cell: swing%-delta vs optimal. Top-right: pitches seen.
Total pitches shown: 1,000