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  • Projections
    In-house Bayesian model · career prior + aging × stuff/discipline signals
  • Plate Discipline
    Decision+ · chase / passive cost · K% · BB%
  • Command & Stuff
    Pitching+ · Stuff+ · Command+ · meatball rate
  • Pitcher Stuff Lab
    In-zone whiff · xwOBAcon · tunnel · deception · count predictability
  • Stuff Model (diag)
    From-scratch XGBoost training runs, feature importance, pitcher grades
  • Expected Points
    Luck-neutral fantasy points · xSLG / xwOBA · ΔPts
  • Hitter Frontier
    Power × discipline tradeoff · Pareto-frontier hitters
  • Pitcher Frontier
    Process × contact-suppression · pound the zone vs limit damage
  • Hitter Vulnerabilities
    Biggest pitch-trait strengths & weaknesses · vs league or vs own
  • AAA Hitters
    Triple-A bats · xwOBA · contact quality · discipline · frontier
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Isaac Paredes

Isaac Paredes

3B·HOU
Compare
Compare
PA
642
H
129
HR
19
AVG
.238
xwOBA
.311
PPG
2.20
Career Seasons
YrGPAAVGOBPSLGISOxwOBAK%BB%K-BB%HRSBPtsPPGxPPG
202665270.233.336.401.168.32016.7%10.0%6.7%901442.22—
2025106439.253
2024 MLB Percentiles

Hitting Profile

Expected Results
xwOBA
15
.311
xBA
7
.226
xSLG
.352
.456
.203
.322
17.3%
11.4%
5.9%
20
0
276
2.60
—
2024158642.238.349.392.154.31116.4%11.8%4.6%1913472.20—
2023146574.248.351.485.237.31618.1%10.1%8.0%3113862.64—
2022115382.205.305.434.229.30217.5%11.5%6.0%2002312.01—
20212985.208.313.319.111.29412.9%11.8%1.1%10411.41—
202032108.220.278.290.070.24722.2%7.4%14.8%10260.81—
6
.358
Quality of Contact
Avg EV
2
85.0
Median EV
1
87.5
90th % EV
6
100.6
Barrel %
11
4.5
Hard-Hit %
3
27.1
Sweet-Spot %
74
37.9
Bat Speed
Avg
9
66.6
Median
8
67.8
90th %
10
73.1
Plate Discipline
Chase %
56
26.5
Whiff %
82
16.3
K %
78
16.4
BB %
91
11.8
Swing Decisions

Plate Discipline · Decision+

Expected-run-value of every swing-or-take decision, against a league-average batter’s optimum. 100 = avg · 110 = 1 SD better.

Decision+
104
≈ 65th pctl
Chase cost
-50.6r
467 swings @ bad pitch
Passive cost
-18.8r
403 takes @ hittable pitch
Swing rate
44.8%
2,886 pitches seen
Runs per 100
-2.40
lg avg -2.53
Count
View
124411+33%6+18%11+25%16+9%22+8%12+15%134+53%15-15%26-22%41-23%48-20%44+50%22-10%10+27%26-4%57-25%79-25%68-32%63+31%29+21%14+30%27+37%46+19%59+6%34+15%27+23%131+6%18+0%13+8%12+15%13421CATCHER'S VIEW
Judgment — swing% vs optimal
−35%−15%0+15%+35%
  • Red cells — swings more than an optimal batter would here (chasing).
  • Blue cells — swings less than optimal (too passive).
  • Number in cell: swing%-delta vs optimal. Top-right: pitches seen.
Total pitches shown: 1,000