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  • Projections
    In-house Bayesian model · career prior + aging × stuff/discipline signals
  • Plate Discipline
    Decision+ · chase / passive cost · K% · BB%
  • Command & Stuff
    Pitching+ · Stuff+ · Command+ · meatball rate
  • Pitcher Stuff Lab
    In-zone whiff · xwOBAcon · tunnel · deception · count predictability
  • Stuff Model (diag)
    From-scratch XGBoost training runs, feature importance, pitcher grades
  • Expected Points
    Luck-neutral fantasy points · xSLG / xwOBA · ΔPts
  • Hitter Frontier
    Power × discipline tradeoff · Pareto-frontier hitters
  • Pitcher Frontier
    Process × contact-suppression · pound the zone vs limit damage
  • Hitter Vulnerabilities
    Biggest pitch-trait strengths & weaknesses · vs league or vs own
  • AAA Hitters
    Triple-A bats · xwOBA · contact quality · discipline · frontier
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Isaac Paredes

Isaac Paredes

3B·HOU
Compare
Compare
PA
439
H
96
HR
20
AVG
.253
xwOBA
.322
PPG
2.60
Career Seasons
YrGPAAVGOBPSLGISOxwOBAK%BB%K-BB%HRSBPtsPPGxPPG
202663257.241.333.415.174.31716.3%9.3%7.0%901442.29—
2025106439.253
2025 MLB Percentiles

Hitting Profile

439 PA — below qualified cutoff. Percentiles vs. qualified pool (faded).

Expected Results
xwOBA
31
.322
xBA
24
.238
.352
.456
.203
.322
17.3%
11.4%
5.9%
20
0
276
2.60
—
2024158642.238.349.392.154.31116.4%11.8%4.6%1913472.20—
2023146574.248.351.485.237.31618.1%10.1%8.0%3113862.64—
2022115382.205.305.434.229.30217.5%11.5%6.0%2002312.01—
20212985.208.313.319.111.29412.9%11.8%1.1%10411.41—
202032108.220.278.290.070.24722.2%7.4%14.8%10260.81—
xSLG
15
.383
Quality of Contact
Avg EV
15
87.4
Median EV
20
90.8
90th % EV
15
102.5
Barrel %
19
6.3
Hard-Hit %
13
33.6
Sweet-Spot %
77
38.5
Bat Speed
Avg
11
67.2
Median
9
68.5
90th %
21
74.6
Plate Discipline
Chase %
88
21.4
Whiff %
89
14.5
K %
73
17.3
BB %
78
11.4
Swing Decisions

Plate Discipline · Decision+

Expected-run-value of every swing-or-take decision, against a league-average batter’s optimum. 100 = avg · 110 = 1 SD better.

Decision+
106
≈ 73th pctl
Chase cost
-28.4r
274 swings @ bad pitch
Passive cost
-16.7r
346 takes @ hittable pitch
Swing rate
41.0%
1,953 pitches seen
Runs per 100
-2.31
lg avg -2.53
Count
View
42+17%6+14%715+33%9+17%18-5%19+19%16+0%75+33%12+8%36-38%53-27%51-11%46+31%26+22%9+40%25+4%53-32%75-31%83-43%53+21%24+22%9+9%23+30%37+0%69-9%35+8%26+18%113+0%13+10%20+0%14+0%18211CATCHER'S VIEW
Judgment — swing% vs optimal
−35%−15%0+15%+35%
  • Red cells — swings more than an optimal batter would here (chasing).
  • Blue cells — swings less than optimal (too passive).
  • Number in cell: swing%-delta vs optimal. Top-right: pitches seen.
Total pitches shown: 1,000