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  • Projections
    In-house Bayesian model · career prior + aging × stuff/discipline signals
  • Plate Discipline
    Decision+ · chase / passive cost · K% · BB%
  • Command & Stuff
    Pitching+ · Stuff+ · Command+ · meatball rate
  • Pitcher Stuff Lab
    In-zone whiff · xwOBAcon · tunnel · deception · count predictability
  • Stuff Model (diag)
    From-scratch XGBoost training runs, feature importance, pitcher grades
  • Expected Points
    Luck-neutral fantasy points · xSLG / xwOBA · ΔPts
  • Hitter Frontier
    Power × discipline tradeoff · Pareto-frontier hitters
  • Pitcher Frontier
    Process × contact-suppression · pound the zone vs limit damage
  • Hitter Vulnerabilities
    Biggest pitch-trait strengths & weaknesses · vs league or vs own
  • AAA Hitters
    Triple-A bats · xwOBA · contact quality · discipline · frontier
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Position cohort

Hitting value vs. C peers

Rank #1 of 66

Each bar is one C, ordered left-to-right by Value (blended). Center dot is VORP; whiskers span V⁻ → V⁺. This player is highlighted in blue.

-300-200-1000+100Iván Herrera
Iván Herrera · #1
V⁻ 13VORP -97V⁺ 81
Iván Herrera

Iván Herrera

C·STL
Compare
Compare
PA
305
H
67
HR
7
AVG
.269
xwOBA
.366
PPG
2.72
Career Seasons
YrGPAAVGOBPSLGISOxwOBAK%BB%K-BB%HRSBPtsPPGxPPG
Proj94396.270.365.434.164.35818.7%11.1%7.6%1352282.43—
202667305.269
2026 MLB Percentiles

Hitting Profile

Expected Results
xwOBA
77
.366
xBA
65
.266
xSLG
.399
.414
.145
.366
16.4%
12.8%
3.6%
7
3
182
2.72
—
2025110452.284.377.464.180.37318.6%9.5%9.1%1982812.55—
202475260.300.374.426.126.37220.4%9.6%10.8%551522.03—
20231244.297.409.351.054.34225.0%11.4%13.6%00191.58—
20221222.111.200.111.000.16736.4%9.1%27.3%00-2-0.17—
43
.409
Quality of Contact
Avg EV
48
89.6
Median EV
84
95.7
90th % EV
66
106.4
Barrel %
26
6.5
Hard-Hit %
45
41.8
Sweet-Spot %
16
31.8
Bat Speed
Avg
65
71.8
Median
69
73.5
90th %
74
78.5
Plate Discipline
Chase %
55
27.5
Whiff %
70
18.4
K %
76
16.4
BB %
77
12.8
Swing Decisions

Plate Discipline · Decision+

Expected-run-value of every swing-or-take decision, against a league-average batter’s optimum. 100 = avg · 110 = 1 SD better.

Decision+
102
≈ 58th pctl
Chase cost
-6.5r
61 swings @ bad pitch
Passive cost
-2.9r
62 takes @ hittable pitch
Swing rate
40.6%
384 pitches seen
Runs per 100
-2.45
lg avg -2.53
Count
View
31211124+9%11+11%9+25%841+25%8-12%16-40%20-31%16-14%28+67%9+0%8+31%16+14%22-25%24-39%31-6%1741+25%8+25%8+0%14+14%14+25%8+25%832241422CATCHER'S VIEW
Judgment — swing% vs optimal
−35%−15%0+15%+35%
  • Red cells — swings more than an optimal batter would here (chasing).
  • Blue cells — swings less than optimal (too passive).
  • Number in cell: swing%-delta vs optimal. Top-right: pitches seen.
Total pitches shown: 384