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  • Projections
    In-house Bayesian model · career prior + aging × stuff/discipline signals
  • Plate Discipline
    Decision+ · chase / passive cost · K% · BB%
  • Command & Stuff
    Pitching+ · Stuff+ · Command+ · meatball rate
  • Pitcher Stuff Lab
    In-zone whiff · xwOBAcon · tunnel · deception · count predictability
  • Stuff Model (diag)
    From-scratch XGBoost training runs, feature importance, pitcher grades
  • Expected Points
    Luck-neutral fantasy points · xSLG / xwOBA · ΔPts
  • Hitter Frontier
    Power × discipline tradeoff · Pareto-frontier hitters
  • Pitcher Frontier
    Process × contact-suppression · pound the zone vs limit damage
  • Hitter Vulnerabilities
    Biggest pitch-trait strengths & weaknesses · vs league or vs own
  • AAA Hitters
    Triple-A bats · xwOBA · contact quality · discipline · frontier
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Position cohort

Hitting value vs. OF peers

Each bar is one OF, ordered left-to-right by Value (blended). Center dot is VORP; whiskers span V⁻ → V⁺.

-500+50+100+150+200
Jack Suwinski

Jack Suwinski

OF·LAD
Compare
Compare
Career Seasons
YrGPAAVGOBPSLGISOxwOBAK%BB%K-BB%HRSBPtsPPGxPPG
Proj2895.205.297.386.181.30730.9%10.7%20.2%42381.37—
202557179.146.279.252.106.31331.8%13.4%18.4%37430.75—
202488277.182.265.324
2026 MLB Percentiles

Hitting Profile

No MLB Statcast hitting rows for 2026.

.142
.301
28.5%
9.7%
18.8%
9
10
97
1.10
—
2023146536.223.342.452.229.34832.1%14.0%18.1%26132591.77—
2022106373.202.298.410.208.31530.6%11.0%19.6%1951581.49—
Swing Decisions

Plate Discipline · Decision+

Expected-run-value of every swing-or-take decision, against a league-average batter’s optimum. 100 = avg · 110 = 1 SD better.

Decision+
93
≈ 24th pctl
Chase cost
-0.6r
5 swings @ bad pitch
Passive cost
-0.1r
1 takes @ hittable pitch
Swing rate
43.5%
23 pitches seen
Runs per 100
-2.83
lg avg -2.53
Count
View
1111114211111111CATCHER'S VIEW
Judgment — swing% vs optimal
−35%−15%0+15%+35%
  • Red cells — swings more than an optimal batter would here (chasing).
  • Blue cells — swings less than optimal (too passive).
  • Number in cell: swing%-delta vs optimal. Top-right: pitches seen.
Total pitches shown: 23