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  • Projections
    In-house Bayesian model · career prior + aging × stuff/discipline signals
  • Plate Discipline
    Decision+ · chase / passive cost · K% · BB%
  • Command & Stuff
    Pitching+ · Stuff+ · Command+ · meatball rate
  • Pitcher Stuff Lab
    In-zone whiff · xwOBAcon · tunnel · deception · count predictability
  • Stuff Model (diag)
    From-scratch XGBoost training runs, feature importance, pitcher grades
  • Expected Points
    Luck-neutral fantasy points · xSLG / xwOBA · ΔPts
  • Hitter Frontier
    Power × discipline tradeoff · Pareto-frontier hitters
  • Pitcher Frontier
    Process × contact-suppression · pound the zone vs limit damage
  • Hitter Vulnerabilities
    Biggest pitch-trait strengths & weaknesses · vs league or vs own
  • AAA Hitters
    Triple-A bats · xwOBA · contact quality · discipline · frontier
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Position cohort

Hitting value vs. OF peers

Rank #10 of 237

Each bar is one OF, ordered left-to-right by Value (blended). Center dot is VORP; whiskers span V⁻ → V⁺. This player is highlighted in blue.

-500+50+100+150Jackson Chourio
Jackson Chourio · #10
V⁻ 10VORP 53V⁺ 99
Jackson Chourio

Jackson Chourio

OF·MIL
Compare
Compare
PA
319
H
80
HR
13
AVG
.274
xwOBA
.328
PPG
2.65
Career Seasons
YrGPAAVGOBPSLGISOxwOBAK%BB%K-BB%HRSBPtsPPGxPPG
Proj97421.269.320.461.192.34321.1%6.7%14.3%16152442.52—
202671319.274
2026 MLB Percentiles

Hitting Profile

319 PA — below qualified cutoff. Percentiles vs. qualified pool (faded).

Expected Results
xwOBA
47
.328
xBA
34
.245
.333
.466
.192
.328
24.8%
7.5%
17.3%
13
10
188
2.65
—
2025143590.269.310.462.193.30820.5%5.1%15.4%21213882.71—
2024151573.275.328.464.189.33121.1%6.8%14.3%21253812.52—
xSLG
68
.443
Quality of Contact
Avg EV
88
92.3
Median EV
0
—
90th % EV
0
—
Barrel %
74
12.2
Hard-Hit %
69
45.5
Sweet-Spot %
25
33.3
Bat Speed
Avg
75
73.0
Median
0
—
90th %
0
—
Plate Discipline
Chase %
26
33.4
Whiff %
48
21.8
K %
22
24.8
BB %
27
7.5
Swing Decisions

Plate Discipline · Decision+

Expected-run-value of every swing-or-take decision, against a league-average batter’s optimum. 100 = avg · 110 = 1 SD better.

Decision+
125
≈ 99th pctl
Chase cost
-0.3r
4 swings @ bad pitch
Passive cost
-0.3r
7 takes @ hittable pitch
Swing rate
43.2%
44 pitches seen
Runs per 100
-1.50
lg avg -2.53
Count
View
1111411421543124221CATCHER'S VIEW
Judgment — swing% vs optimal
−35%−15%0+15%+35%
  • Red cells — swings more than an optimal batter would here (chasing).
  • Blue cells — swings less than optimal (too passive).
  • Number in cell: swing%-delta vs optimal. Top-right: pitches seen.
Total pitches shown: 44