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  • Projections
    In-house Bayesian model · career prior + aging × stuff/discipline signals
  • Plate Discipline
    Decision+ · chase / passive cost · K% · BB%
  • Command & Stuff
    Pitching+ · Stuff+ · Command+ · meatball rate
  • Pitcher Stuff Lab
    In-zone whiff · xwOBAcon · tunnel · deception · count predictability
  • Stuff Model (diag)
    From-scratch XGBoost training runs, feature importance, pitcher grades
  • Expected Points
    Luck-neutral fantasy points · xSLG / xwOBA · ΔPts
  • Hitter Frontier
    Power × discipline tradeoff · Pareto-frontier hitters
  • Pitcher Frontier
    Process × contact-suppression · pound the zone vs limit damage
  • Hitter Vulnerabilities
    Biggest pitch-trait strengths & weaknesses · vs league or vs own
  • AAA Hitters
    Triple-A bats · xwOBA · contact quality · discipline · frontier
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Jackson Chourio

Jackson Chourio

OF·MIL
Compare
Compare
PA
573
H
145
HR
21
AVG
.275
xwOBA
.331
PPG
2.52
Career Seasons
YrGPAAVGOBPSLGISOxwOBAK%BB%K-BB%HRSBPtsPPGxPPG
202631142.302.362.481.179.34026.1%8.5%17.6%45862.77—
2025143590.269
2024 MLB Percentiles

Hitting Profile

Expected Results
xwOBA
44
.331
xBA
65
.259
xSLG
.310
.462
.193
.308
20.5%
5.1%
15.4%
21
21
388
2.71
—
2024151573.275.328.464.189.33121.1%6.8%14.3%21253812.52—
42
.421
Quality of Contact
Avg EV
41
89.1
Median EV
60
93.0
90th % EV
44
104.4
Barrel %
41
7.8
Hard-Hit %
65
44.9
Sweet-Spot %
28
34.1
Bat Speed
Avg
65
71.2
Median
69
72.8
90th %
72
78.1
Plate Discipline
Chase %
23
31.9
Whiff %
35
24.4
K %
49
21.1
BB %
22
6.8
Swing Decisions

Plate Discipline · Decision+

Expected-run-value of every swing-or-take decision, against a league-average batter’s optimum. 100 = avg · 110 = 1 SD better.

Decision+
91
≈ 19th pctl
Chase cost
-43.4r
397 swings @ bad pitch
Passive cost
-15.5r
314 takes @ hittable pitch
Swing rate
48.9%
2,099 pitches seen
Runs per 100
-2.81
lg avg -2.53
Count
View
2+33%6+50%8+43%7+44%922+17%6+23%13+38%24+45%29+52%21+23%13+14%7+41%17-17%41-33%58-22%55-11%44+50%38+13%16+27%22-12%51-34%70-22%65-23%39+58%19+27%11+27%26+39%33+2%42-21%38-5%21+6%165+13%8+0%9+10%10+22%9412CATCHER'S VIEW
Judgment — swing% vs optimal
−35%−15%0+15%+35%
  • Red cells — swings more than an optimal batter would here (chasing).
  • Blue cells — swings less than optimal (too passive).
  • Number in cell: swing%-delta vs optimal. Top-right: pitches seen.
Total pitches shown: 1,000