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  • Projections
    In-house Bayesian model · career prior + aging × stuff/discipline signals
  • Plate Discipline
    Decision+ · chase / passive cost · K% · BB%
  • Command & Stuff
    Pitching+ · Stuff+ · Command+ · meatball rate
  • Pitcher Stuff Lab
    In-zone whiff · xwOBAcon · tunnel · deception · count predictability
  • Stuff Model (diag)
    From-scratch XGBoost training runs, feature importance, pitcher grades
  • Expected Points
    Luck-neutral fantasy points · xSLG / xwOBA · ΔPts
  • Hitter Frontier
    Power × discipline tradeoff · Pareto-frontier hitters
  • Pitcher Frontier
    Process × contact-suppression · pound the zone vs limit damage
  • Hitter Vulnerabilities
    Biggest pitch-trait strengths & weaknesses · vs league or vs own
  • AAA Hitters
    Triple-A bats · xwOBA · contact quality · discipline · frontier
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Jackson Holliday

Jackson Holliday

2B·BAL
Compare
Compare
PA
650
H
142
HR
17
AVG
.242
xwOBA
.315
PPG
1.92
Career Seasons
YrGPAAVGOBPSLGISOxwOBAK%BB%K-BB%HRSBPtsPPGxPPG
202654174.222.345.368.146.32724.1%15.5%8.6%54791.46—
2025152650.242
2025 MLB Percentiles

Hitting Profile

Expected Results
xwOBA
21
.315
xBA
15
.233
xSLG
.314
.375
.133
.315
21.5%
8.6%
12.9%
17
17
292
1.92
—
202461208.189.256.311.122.26333.2%7.2%26.0%54611.00—
20
.395
Quality of Contact
Avg EV
26
88.7
Median EV
24
91.7
90th % EV
23
103.7
Barrel %
31
7.8
Hard-Hit %
28
40.7
Sweet-Spot %
23
34.2
Bat Speed
Avg
26
68.9
Median
21
70.1
90th %
23
74.9
Plate Discipline
Chase %
82
22.1
Whiff %
55
21.7
K %
43
21.5
BB %
47
8.6
Swing Decisions

Plate Discipline · Decision+

Expected-run-value of every swing-or-take decision, against a league-average batter’s optimum. 100 = avg · 110 = 1 SD better.

Decision+
111
≈ 87th pctl
Chase cost
-32.7r
357 swings @ bad pitch
Passive cost
-19.1r
350 takes @ hittable pitch
Swing rate
46.8%
2,454 pitches seen
Runs per 100
-2.11
lg avg -2.53
Count
View
33+13%15+0%18+0%1454+6%16+18%17+17%53+13%56+8%37+0%21+6%17+46%26+0%47-39%72-38%69-21%52+38%29+13%8+28%25+5%39-30%60-13%69-19%37+47%17+11%95+30%10+7%14-6%16+11%19+25%82354321CATCHER'S VIEW
Judgment — swing% vs optimal
−35%−15%0+15%+35%
  • Red cells — swings more than an optimal batter would here (chasing).
  • Blue cells — swings less than optimal (too passive).
  • Number in cell: swing%-delta vs optimal. Top-right: pitches seen.
Total pitches shown: 1,000