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  • Projections
    In-house Bayesian model · career prior + aging × stuff/discipline signals
  • Plate Discipline
    Decision+ · chase / passive cost · K% · BB%
  • Command & Stuff
    Pitching+ · Stuff+ · Command+ · meatball rate
  • Pitcher Stuff Lab
    In-zone whiff · xwOBAcon · tunnel · deception · count predictability
  • Stuff Model (diag)
    From-scratch XGBoost training runs, feature importance, pitcher grades
  • Expected Points
    Luck-neutral fantasy points · xSLG / xwOBA · ΔPts
  • Hitter Frontier
    Power × discipline tradeoff · Pareto-frontier hitters
  • Pitcher Frontier
    Process × contact-suppression · pound the zone vs limit damage
  • Hitter Vulnerabilities
    Biggest pitch-trait strengths & weaknesses · vs league or vs own
  • AAA Hitters
    Triple-A bats · xwOBA · contact quality · discipline · frontier
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Position cohort

Hitting value vs. SS peers

Rank #18 of 64

Each bar is one SS, ordered left-to-right by Value (blended). Center dot is VORP; whiskers span V⁻ → V⁺. This player is highlighted in blue.

-200-1000+100Jacob Wilson
Jacob Wilson · #18
V⁻ 20VORP 35V⁺ 56
Jacob Wilson

Jacob Wilson

SS·ATH
Compare
Compare
PA
168
H
47
HR
3
AVG
.292
xwOBA
.275
PPG
2.26
Career Seasons
YrGPAAVGOBPSLGISOxwOBAK%BB%K-BB%HRSBPtsPPGxPPG
Proj66283.296.337.416.120.3359.3%5.3%4.0%531682.55—
202639168.292
2026 MLB Percentiles

Hitting Profile

168 PA — below qualified cutoff. Percentiles vs. qualified pool (faded).

Expected Results
xwOBA
4
.275
xBA
61
.265
.313
.398
.106
.275
11.9%
3.0%
8.9%
3
2
88
2.26
—
2025130524.310.355.444.134.3057.4%5.2%2.2%1353512.70—
202427104.247.314.312.065.2929.6%7.7%1.9%00421.56—
xSLG
9
.337
Quality of Contact
Avg EV
1
83.5
Median EV
16
89.3
90th % EV
3
98.6
Barrel %
4
2.1
Hard-Hit %
9
30.1
Sweet-Spot %
18
32.2
Bat Speed
Avg
1
61.9
Median
1
63.7
90th %
2
68.7
Plate Discipline
Chase %
2
43.2
Whiff %
88
14.1
K %
92
11.9
BB %
1
3.0
Swing Decisions

Plate Discipline · Decision+

Expected-run-value of every swing-or-take decision, against a league-average batter’s optimum. 100 = avg · 110 = 1 SD better.

Decision+
97
≈ 40th pctl
Chase cost
-6.0r
70 swings @ bad pitch
Passive cost
-1.8r
38 takes @ hittable pitch
Swing rate
58.7%
298 pitches seen
Runs per 100
-2.64
lg avg -2.53
Count
View
31321+33%6+22%913+67%9-8%12-29%17-24%17-18%174+56%9+24%25-13%30-18%17-23%1352+67%64+18%11+20%15+17%63223212CATCHER'S VIEW
Judgment — swing% vs optimal
−35%−15%0+15%+35%
  • Red cells — swings more than an optimal batter would here (chasing).
  • Blue cells — swings less than optimal (too passive).
  • Number in cell: swing%-delta vs optimal. Top-right: pitches seen.
Total pitches shown: 298