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  • Projections
    In-house Bayesian model · career prior + aging × stuff/discipline signals
  • Plate Discipline
    Decision+ · chase / passive cost · K% · BB%
  • Command & Stuff
    Pitching+ · Stuff+ · Command+ · meatball rate
  • Pitcher Stuff Lab
    In-zone whiff · xwOBAcon · tunnel · deception · count predictability
  • Stuff Model (diag)
    From-scratch XGBoost training runs, feature importance, pitcher grades
  • Expected Points
    Luck-neutral fantasy points · xSLG / xwOBA · ΔPts
  • Hitter Frontier
    Power × discipline tradeoff · Pareto-frontier hitters
  • Pitcher Frontier
    Process × contact-suppression · pound the zone vs limit damage
  • Hitter Vulnerabilities
    Biggest pitch-trait strengths & weaknesses · vs league or vs own
  • AAA Hitters
    Triple-A bats · xwOBA · contact quality · discipline · frontier
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Position cohort

Hitting value vs. OF peers

Rank #105 of 234

Each bar is one OF, ordered left-to-right by Value (blended). Center dot is VORP; whiskers span V⁻ → V⁺. This player is highlighted in blue.

-500+50+100+150+200Jacob Young
Jacob Young · #60
V⁻ -25VORP -9V⁺ 11
Jacob Young

Jacob Young

OF·WSN
Compare
Compare
PA
220
H
47
HR
8
AVG
.230
xwOBA
.313
PPG
1.98
Career Seasons
YrGPAAVGOBPSLGISOxwOBAK%BB%K-BB%HRSBPtsPPGxPPG
Proj68294.248.303.337.089.29217.7%6.6%11.2%3121251.84—
202660220.230
2026 MLB Percentiles

Hitting Profile

Expected Results
xwOBA
28
.313
xBA
51
.257
xSLG
.283
.387
.157
.313
17.7%
5.0%
12.7%
8
5
119
1.98
—
2025110365.231.296.286.055.29717.8%7.4%10.4%2161471.34—
2024150522.256.317.330.074.29219.5%5.7%13.8%3332361.57—
202335121.252.322.336.084.28018.2%8.3%9.9%013591.69—
29
.390
Quality of Contact
Avg EV
26
87.9
Median EV
56
93.1
90th % EV
24
102.8
Barrel %
25
6.1
Hard-Hit %
19
35.8
Sweet-Spot %
75
38.8
Bat Speed
Avg
16
67.6
Median
26
70.0
90th %
18
74.0
Plate Discipline
Chase %
69
26.1
Whiff %
69
18.4
K %
66
17.7
BB %
8
5.0
Swing Decisions

Plate Discipline · Decision+

Expected-run-value of every swing-or-take decision, against a league-average batter’s optimum. 100 = avg · 110 = 1 SD better.

Decision+
102
≈ 57th pctl
Chase cost
-3.5r
36 swings @ bad pitch
Passive cost
-2.6r
42 takes @ hittable pitch
Swing rate
46.1%
245 pitches seen
Runs per 100
-2.45
lg avg -2.53
Count
View
11435+50%8+50%10123+30%10-32%22-42%19-29%752+33%6+20%10-32%25-30%204+29%752-17%12-25%8521514112CATCHER'S VIEW
Judgment — swing% vs optimal
−35%−15%0+15%+35%
  • Red cells — swings more than an optimal batter would here (chasing).
  • Blue cells — swings less than optimal (too passive).
  • Number in cell: swing%-delta vs optimal. Top-right: pitches seen.
Total pitches shown: 245