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  • Projections
    In-house Bayesian model · career prior + aging × stuff/discipline signals
  • Plate Discipline
    Decision+ · chase / passive cost · K% · BB%
  • Command & Stuff
    Pitching+ · Stuff+ · Command+ · meatball rate
  • Pitcher Stuff Lab
    In-zone whiff · xwOBAcon · tunnel · deception · count predictability
  • Stuff Model (diag)
    From-scratch XGBoost training runs, feature importance, pitcher grades
  • Expected Points
    Luck-neutral fantasy points · xSLG / xwOBA · ΔPts
  • Hitter Frontier
    Power × discipline tradeoff · Pareto-frontier hitters
  • Pitcher Frontier
    Process × contact-suppression · pound the zone vs limit damage
  • Hitter Vulnerabilities
    Biggest pitch-trait strengths & weaknesses · vs league or vs own
  • AAA Hitters
    Triple-A bats · xwOBA · contact quality · discipline · frontier
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Jake Burger

Jake Burger

1B·TEX
Compare
Compare
PA
579
H
134
HR
29
AVG
.250
xwOBA
.341
PPG
2.07
Career Seasons
YrGPAAVGOBPSLGISOxwOBAK%BB%K-BB%HRSBPtsPPGxPPG
202667270.247.306.429.182.30925.6%7.4%18.2%1111311.96—
2025108377.235
2024 MLB Percentiles

Hitting Profile

Expected Results
xwOBA
61
.341
xBA
54
.252
xSLG
.270
.417
.182
.326
24.7%
3.2%
21.5%
16
1
179
1.66
—
2024139579.250.303.460.210.34125.9%5.4%20.5%2912882.07—
2023147541.249.311.517.268.35827.5%5.9%21.6%3413102.11—
202257183.250.304.458.208.32730.6%5.5%25.1%80921.61—
20211542.263.333.474.211.35135.7%9.5%26.2%10151.00—
82
.483
Quality of Contact
Avg EV
77
91.3
Median EV
70
93.8
90th % EV
90
108.7
Barrel %
76
12.3
Hard-Hit %
72
46.8
Sweet-Spot %
22
33.4
Bat Speed
Avg
82
72.9
Median
82
74.2
90th %
81
79.1
Plate Discipline
Chase %
6
36.6
Whiff %
13
28.5
K %
20
25.9
BB %
9
5.4
Swing Decisions

Plate Discipline · Decision+

Expected-run-value of every swing-or-take decision, against a league-average batter’s optimum. 100 = avg · 110 = 1 SD better.

Decision+
87
≈ 9th pctl
Chase cost
-49.2r
498 swings @ bad pitch
Passive cost
-12.4r
263 takes @ hittable pitch
Swing rate
52.4%
2,084 pitches seen
Runs per 100
-2.95
lg avg -2.53
Count
View
31+27%11+27%11+57%741+57%7+41%17+0%26+45%29+67%18+82%11+30%27-16%43-15%48-20%46-6%36+68%22+57%7+50%32+20%64-33%60-34%59-14%36+76%175+22%27+35%23+11%47-2%47+46%13+38%82+8%12+0%14+46%13+44%9+10%1032CATCHER'S VIEW
Judgment — swing% vs optimal
−35%−15%0+15%+35%
  • Red cells — swings more than an optimal batter would here (chasing).
  • Blue cells — swings less than optimal (too passive).
  • Number in cell: swing%-delta vs optimal. Top-right: pitches seen.
Total pitches shown: 1,000