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  • Projections
    In-house Bayesian model · career prior + aging × stuff/discipline signals
  • Plate Discipline
    Decision+ · chase / passive cost · K% · BB%
  • Command & Stuff
    Pitching+ · Stuff+ · Command+ · meatball rate
  • Pitcher Stuff Lab
    In-zone whiff · xwOBAcon · tunnel · deception · count predictability
  • Stuff Model (diag)
    From-scratch XGBoost training runs, feature importance, pitcher grades
  • Expected Points
    Luck-neutral fantasy points · xSLG / xwOBA · ΔPts
  • Hitter Frontier
    Power × discipline tradeoff · Pareto-frontier hitters
  • Pitcher Frontier
    Process × contact-suppression · pound the zone vs limit damage
  • Hitter Vulnerabilities
    Biggest pitch-trait strengths & weaknesses · vs league or vs own
  • AAA Hitters
    Triple-A bats · xwOBA · contact quality · discipline · frontier
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Jake Cave

Jake Cave

H·FA
Compare
Compare
PA
347
H
81
HR
7
AVG
.250
xwOBA
.283
PPG
1.19
Career Seasons
YrGPAAVGOBPSLGISOxwOBAK%BB%K-BB%HRSBPtsPPGxPPG
2024115347.250.292.395.145.28328.2%5.2%23.0%751371.19—
202370204.211
2024 MLB Percentiles

Hitting Profile

347 PA — below qualified cutoff. Percentiles vs. qualified pool (faded).

Expected Results
xwOBA
3
.283
xBA
11
.231
.274
.346
.135
.277
27.0%
7.4%
19.6%
5
4
88
1.26
—
202262177.213.263.384.171.30027.7%6.2%21.5%52711.15—
202171180.187.246.289.102.27434.4%5.6%28.8%32400.56—
202036123.221.285.389.168.27135.8%4.1%31.7%40381.06—
201975228.258.352.455.197.36231.1%9.2%21.9%801141.52—
201888309.265.316.473.208.34333.0%5.8%27.2%1321541.75—
xSLG
7
.361
Quality of Contact
Avg EV
12
86.9
Median EV
35
91.6
90th % EV
16
102.4
Barrel %
13
5.2
Hard-Hit %
23
37.1
Sweet-Spot %
65
36.7
Bat Speed
Avg
17
67.7
Median
15
69.1
90th %
17
74.3
Plate Discipline
Chase %
17
33.4
Whiff %
31
25.6
K %
10
28.2
BB %
8
5.2
Swing Decisions

Plate Discipline · Decision+

Expected-run-value of every swing-or-take decision, against a league-average batter’s optimum. 100 = avg · 110 = 1 SD better.

Decision+
90
≈ 16th pctl
Chase cost
-28.2r
286 swings @ bad pitch
Passive cost
-11.1r
185 takes @ hittable pitch
Swing rate
52.2%
1,381 pitches seen
Runs per 100
-2.85
lg avg -2.53
Count
View
3+0%7+7%15+0%9+0%11+0%64+30%10+16%25-10%39+6%50+0%28+0%13+0%11+43%23+23%64-31%71-34%61-19%52+5%20+9%11+75%24+0%45-18%57-17%41+5%38+50%24+33%9+42%12+63%24+57%21+42%31+27%22+70%1013+25%8+50%6212CATCHER'S VIEW
Judgment — swing% vs optimal
−35%−15%0+15%+35%
  • Red cells — swings more than an optimal batter would here (chasing).
  • Blue cells — swings less than optimal (too passive).
  • Number in cell: swing%-delta vs optimal. Top-right: pitches seen.
Total pitches shown: 1,000