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  • Projections
    In-house Bayesian model · career prior + aging × stuff/discipline signals
  • Plate Discipline
    Decision+ · chase / passive cost · K% · BB%
  • Command & Stuff
    Pitching+ · Stuff+ · Command+ · meatball rate
  • Pitcher Stuff Lab
    In-zone whiff · xwOBAcon · tunnel · deception · count predictability
  • Stuff Model (diag)
    From-scratch XGBoost training runs, feature importance, pitcher grades
  • Expected Points
    Luck-neutral fantasy points · xSLG / xwOBA · ΔPts
  • Hitter Frontier
    Power × discipline tradeoff · Pareto-frontier hitters
  • Pitcher Frontier
    Process × contact-suppression · pound the zone vs limit damage
  • Hitter Vulnerabilities
    Biggest pitch-trait strengths & weaknesses · vs league or vs own
  • AAA Hitters
    Triple-A bats · xwOBA · contact quality · discipline · frontier
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Jake Meyers

Jake Meyers

OF·HOU
Compare
Compare
PA
342
H
70
HR
10
AVG
.226
xwOBA
.283
PPG
1.38
Career Seasons
YrGPAAVGOBPSLGISOxwOBAK%BB%K-BB%HRSBPtsPPGxPPG
202628103.215.284.323.108.27120.4%7.8%12.6%21391.39—
2025102382.291
2023 MLB Percentiles

Hitting Profile

342 PA — below qualified cutoff. Percentiles vs. qualified pool (faded).

Expected Results
xwOBA
2
.283
xBA
0
.210
.354
.372
.081
.327
17.5%
8.1%
9.4%
3
16
199
1.95
—
2024142514.219.288.359.140.30822.8%6.8%16.0%13112141.51—
2023104342.226.296.381.155.28325.7%7.6%18.1%1051441.38—
202249161.225.269.311.086.25133.5%4.3%29.2%12290.59—
202152163.260.325.438.178.32230.7%6.1%24.6%64811.56—
xSLG
3
.356
Quality of Contact
Avg EV
6
85.5
Median EV
1
87.0
90th % EV
12
102.2
Barrel %
24
6.3
Hard-Hit %
7
27.9
Sweet-Spot %
45
35.6
Bat Speed
Avg
15
67.2
Median
14
68.5
90th %
24
74.9
Plate Discipline
Chase %
63
26.3
Whiff %
27
25.9
K %
17
25.7
BB %
35
7.6
Swing Decisions

Plate Discipline · Decision+

Expected-run-value of every swing-or-take decision, against a league-average batter’s optimum. 100 = avg · 110 = 1 SD better.

Decision+
105
≈ 68th pctl
Chase cost
-21.8r
214 swings @ bad pitch
Passive cost
-9.5r
176 takes @ hittable pitch
Swing rate
48.1%
1,319 pitches seen
Runs per 100
-2.37
lg avg -2.54
Count
View
224+17%6411+30%10+38%13+26%19+43%21+70%20+13%153+29%17-8%26-27%66-13%61+5%44+56%16+44%9+36%28-23%57-37%72-31%61-18%49+45%203+26%31+3%59-4%45+0%26+29%17+0%93+0%7+13%8+9%11+15%13121CATCHER'S VIEW
Judgment — swing% vs optimal
−35%−15%0+15%+35%
  • Red cells — swings more than an optimal batter would here (chasing).
  • Blue cells — swings less than optimal (too passive).
  • Number in cell: swing%-delta vs optimal. Top-right: pitches seen.
Total pitches shown: 1,000