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  • Projections
    In-house Bayesian model · career prior + aging × stuff/discipline signals
  • Plate Discipline
    Decision+ · chase / passive cost · K% · BB%
  • Command & Stuff
    Pitching+ · Stuff+ · Command+ · meatball rate
  • Pitcher Stuff Lab
    In-zone whiff · xwOBAcon · tunnel · deception · count predictability
  • Stuff Model (diag)
    From-scratch XGBoost training runs, feature importance, pitcher grades
  • Expected Points
    Luck-neutral fantasy points · xSLG / xwOBA · ΔPts
  • Hitter Frontier
    Power × discipline tradeoff · Pareto-frontier hitters
  • Pitcher Frontier
    Process × contact-suppression · pound the zone vs limit damage
  • Hitter Vulnerabilities
    Biggest pitch-trait strengths & weaknesses · vs league or vs own
  • AAA Hitters
    Triple-A bats · xwOBA · contact quality · discipline · frontier
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Jake Meyers

Jake Meyers

OF·HOU
Compare
Compare
PA
382
H
100
HR
3
AVG
.291
xwOBA
.327
PPG
1.95
Career Seasons
YrGPAAVGOBPSLGISOxwOBAK%BB%K-BB%HRSBPtsPPGxPPG
202628103.215.284.323.108.27120.4%7.8%12.6%21391.39—
2025102382.291
2025 MLB Percentiles

Hitting Profile

382 PA — below qualified cutoff. Percentiles vs. qualified pool (faded).

Expected Results
xwOBA
39
.327
xBA
63
.262
.354
.372
.081
.327
17.5%
8.1%
9.4%
3
16
199
1.95
—
2024142514.219.288.359.140.30822.8%6.8%16.0%13112141.51—
2023104342.226.296.381.155.28325.7%7.6%18.1%1051441.38—
202249161.225.269.311.086.25133.5%4.3%29.2%12290.59—
202152163.260.325.438.178.32230.7%6.1%24.6%64811.56—
xSLG
20
.395
Quality of Contact
Avg EV
16
87.7
Median EV
23
91.3
90th % EV
20
103.4
Barrel %
10
5.0
Hard-Hit %
23
38.9
Sweet-Spot %
60
36.8
Bat Speed
Avg
7
66.3
Median
8
68.0
90th %
7
72.9
Plate Discipline
Chase %
76
23.4
Whiff %
74
18.9
K %
71
17.5
BB %
43
8.1
Swing Decisions

Plate Discipline · Decision+

Expected-run-value of every swing-or-take decision, against a league-average batter’s optimum. 100 = avg · 110 = 1 SD better.

Decision+
111
≈ 86th pctl
Chase cost
-17.2r
200 swings @ bad pitch
Passive cost
-11.5r
198 takes @ hittable pitch
Swing rate
47.1%
1,343 pitches seen
Runs per 100
-2.13
lg avg -2.53
Count
View
213+11%9+0%831+0%15+0%19+20%20+34%29+25%83+25%16-8%25-30%57-19%52-15%40+40%30+13%8+17%23-9%54-27%79-30%79-18%49+40%20+9%11+27%22+21%39+22%60+0%41+5%22+13%83+6%16+6%16+7%15+9%1142CATCHER'S VIEW
Judgment — swing% vs optimal
−35%−15%0+15%+35%
  • Red cells — swings more than an optimal batter would here (chasing).
  • Blue cells — swings less than optimal (too passive).
  • Number in cell: swing%-delta vs optimal. Top-right: pitches seen.
Total pitches shown: 1,000