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  • Projections
    In-house Bayesian model · career prior + aging × stuff/discipline signals
  • Plate Discipline
    Decision+ · chase / passive cost · K% · BB%
  • Command & Stuff
    Pitching+ · Stuff+ · Command+ · meatball rate
  • Pitcher Stuff Lab
    In-zone whiff · xwOBAcon · tunnel · deception · count predictability
  • Stuff Model (diag)
    From-scratch XGBoost training runs, feature importance, pitcher grades
  • Expected Points
    Luck-neutral fantasy points · xSLG / xwOBA · ΔPts
  • Hitter Frontier
    Power × discipline tradeoff · Pareto-frontier hitters
  • Pitcher Frontier
    Process × contact-suppression · pound the zone vs limit damage
  • Hitter Vulnerabilities
    Biggest pitch-trait strengths & weaknesses · vs league or vs own
  • AAA Hitters
    Triple-A bats · xwOBA · contact quality · discipline · frontier
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Position cohort

Hitting value vs. OF peers

Rank #112 of 234

Each bar is one OF, ordered left-to-right by Value (blended). Center dot is VORP; whiskers span V⁻ → V⁺. This player is highlighted in blue.

-500+50+100+150+200Jake Meyers
Jake Meyers · #60
V⁻ -34VORP -7V⁺ -1
Jake Meyers

Jake Meyers

OF·HOU
Compare
Compare
PA
110
H
21
HR
2
AVG
.210
xwOBA
.258
PPG
1.27
Career Seasons
YrGPAAVGOBPSLGISOxwOBAK%BB%K-BB%HRSBPtsPPGxPPG
Proj61264.244.311.372.128.30821.0%8.0%13.0%671171.92—
202630110.210
2026 MLB Percentiles

Hitting Profile

110 PA — below qualified cutoff. Percentiles vs. qualified pool (faded).

Expected Results
xwOBA
1
.258
xBA
4
.200
.275
.310
.100
.258
20.0%
7.3%
12.7%
2
1
38
1.27
—
2025102382.291.354.372.081.32717.5%8.1%9.4%3161991.95—
2024142514.219.288.359.140.30822.8%6.8%16.0%13112141.51—
2023104342.226.296.381.155.28325.7%7.6%18.1%1051441.38—
202249161.225.269.311.086.25133.5%4.3%29.2%12290.59—
202152163.260.325.438.178.32230.7%6.1%24.6%64811.56—
xSLG
5
.316
Quality of Contact
Avg EV
6
85.3
Median EV
9
88.2
90th % EV
11
100.9
Barrel %
24
6.3
Hard-Hit %
4
26.6
Sweet-Spot %
4
27.8
Bat Speed
Avg
4
65.3
Median
6
67.1
90th %
18
73.8
Plate Discipline
Chase %
37
31.7
Whiff %
58
20.1
K %
55
20.0
BB %
23
7.3
Swing Decisions

Plate Discipline · Decision+

Expected-run-value of every swing-or-take decision, against a league-average batter’s optimum. 100 = avg · 110 = 1 SD better.

Decision+
118
≈ 97th pctl
Chase cost
-2.1r
34 swings @ bad pitch
Passive cost
-0.8r
18 takes @ hittable pitch
Swing rate
52.7%
167 pitches seen
Runs per 100
-1.76
lg avg -2.53
Count
View
11114534+33%63+0%10-10%10-8%12232+43%75-17%12-27%15+33%624+0%6-29%7+14%713124121CATCHER'S VIEW
Judgment — swing% vs optimal
−35%−15%0+15%+35%
  • Red cells — swings more than an optimal batter would here (chasing).
  • Blue cells — swings less than optimal (too passive).
  • Number in cell: swing%-delta vs optimal. Top-right: pitches seen.
Total pitches shown: 167