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  • Projections
    In-house Bayesian model · career prior + aging × stuff/discipline signals
  • Plate Discipline
    Decision+ · chase / passive cost · K% · BB%
  • Command & Stuff
    Pitching+ · Stuff+ · Command+ · meatball rate
  • Pitcher Stuff Lab
    In-zone whiff · xwOBAcon · tunnel · deception · count predictability
  • Stuff Model (diag)
    From-scratch XGBoost training runs, feature importance, pitcher grades
  • Expected Points
    Luck-neutral fantasy points · xSLG / xwOBA · ΔPts
  • Hitter Frontier
    Power × discipline tradeoff · Pareto-frontier hitters
  • Pitcher Frontier
    Process × contact-suppression · pound the zone vs limit damage
  • Hitter Vulnerabilities
    Biggest pitch-trait strengths & weaknesses · vs league or vs own
  • AAA Hitters
    Triple-A bats · xwOBA · contact quality · discipline · frontier
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Position cohort

Hitting value vs. OF peers

Rank #189 of 234

Each bar is one OF, ordered left-to-right by Value (blended). Center dot is VORP; whiskers span V⁻ → V⁺. This player is highlighted in blue.

-500+50+100+150+200James Outman
James Outman · #60
V⁻ -26VORP -21V⁺ -1
James Outman

James Outman

OF·MIN
Compare
Compare
PA
71
H
10
HR
0
AVG
.154
xwOBA
.195
PPG
0.18
Career Seasons
YrGPAAVGOBPSLGISOxwOBAK%BB%K-BB%HRSBPtsPPGxPPG
Proj39169.206.294.362.156.29634.2%9.6%24.5%54561.43—
20262871.154
2026 MLB Percentiles

Hitting Profile

71 PA — below qualified cutoff. Percentiles vs. qualified pool (faded).

Expected Results
xwOBA
0
.195
xBA
0
.145
.225
.246
.092
.195
40.8%
7.0%
33.8%
0
2
5
0.18
—
202547149.133.215.319.186.26642.3%8.1%34.2%61240.51—
202454157.146.255.263.117.29035.0%10.2%24.8%42230.43—
2023160568.248.355.436.188.32631.9%12.0%19.9%23172961.85—
2022716.462.563.846.384.32143.8%12.5%31.3%10273.86—
xSLG
0
.191
Quality of Contact
Avg EV
3
84.6
Median EV
1
84.3
90th % EV
2
97.2
Barrel %
0
0.0
Hard-Hit %
3
25.7
Sweet-Spot %
14
31.4
Bat Speed
Avg
42
69.9
Median
48
71.7
90th %
44
76.2
Plate Discipline
Chase %
46
30.1
Whiff %
1
38.7
K %
0
40.8
BB %
19
7.0
Swing Decisions

Plate Discipline · Decision+

Expected-run-value of every swing-or-take decision, against a league-average batter’s optimum. 100 = avg · 110 = 1 SD better.

Decision+
105
≈ 71th pctl
Chase cost
-2.2r
24 swings @ bad pitch
Passive cost
-0.9r
14 takes @ hittable pitch
Swing rate
52.2%
136 pitches seen
Runs per 100
-2.30
lg avg -2.53
Count
View
1213524125+33%6-43%75-8%1222+50%8+14%7-22%9-10%10-20%1021422211CATCHER'S VIEW
Judgment — swing% vs optimal
−35%−15%0+15%+35%
  • Red cells — swings more than an optimal batter would here (chasing).
  • Blue cells — swings less than optimal (too passive).
  • Number in cell: swing%-delta vs optimal. Top-right: pitches seen.
Total pitches shown: 136