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  • Projections
    In-house Bayesian model · career prior + aging × stuff/discipline signals
  • Plate Discipline
    Decision+ · chase / passive cost · K% · BB%
  • Command & Stuff
    Pitching+ · Stuff+ · Command+ · meatball rate
  • Pitcher Stuff Lab
    In-zone whiff · xwOBAcon · tunnel · deception · count predictability
  • Stuff Model (diag)
    From-scratch XGBoost training runs, feature importance, pitcher grades
  • Expected Points
    Luck-neutral fantasy points · xSLG / xwOBA · ΔPts
  • Hitter Frontier
    Power × discipline tradeoff · Pareto-frontier hitters
  • Pitcher Frontier
    Process × contact-suppression · pound the zone vs limit damage
  • Hitter Vulnerabilities
    Biggest pitch-trait strengths & weaknesses · vs league or vs own
  • AAA Hitters
    Triple-A bats · xwOBA · contact quality · discipline · frontier
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James Outman

James Outman

OF·MIN
Compare
Compare
PA
568
H
120
HR
23
AVG
.248
xwOBA
.326
PPG
1.85
Career Seasons
YrGPAAVGOBPSLGISOxwOBAK%BB%K-BB%HRSBPtsPPGxPPG
20262871.154.225.246.092.19540.8%7.0%33.8%0250.18—
202547149.133
2023 MLB Percentiles

Hitting Profile

Expected Results
xwOBA
34
.326
xBA
5
.224
xSLG
.215
.319
.186
.266
42.3%
8.1%
34.2%
6
1
24
0.51
—
202454157.146.255.263.117.29035.0%10.2%24.8%42230.43—
2023160568.248.355.436.188.32631.9%12.0%19.9%23172961.85—
2022716.462.563.846.384.32143.8%12.5%31.3%10273.86—
19
.394
Quality of Contact
Avg EV
14
87.5
Median EV
9
89.5
90th % EV
46
104.9
Barrel %
67
11.1
Hard-Hit %
34
39.9
Sweet-Spot %
93
39.9
Bat Speed
Avg
66
71.3
Median
70
73.1
90th %
66
77.7
Plate Discipline
Chase %
68
25.4
Whiff %
0
33.6
K %
1
31.9
BB %
84
12.0
Swing Decisions

Plate Discipline · Decision+

Expected-run-value of every swing-or-take decision, against a league-average batter’s optimum. 100 = avg · 110 = 1 SD better.

Decision+
106
≈ 73th pctl
Chase cost
-37.7r
382 swings @ bad pitch
Passive cost
-18.4r
299 takes @ hittable pitch
Swing rate
45.7%
2,423 pitches seen
Runs per 100
-2.32
lg avg -2.54
Count
View
5+7%14+13%16+10%105+0%73+29%17+62%29+17%41+32%34+10%31+5%19+0%9+62%21+5%43-26%69-17%65-22%40+14%22+0%12+44%25+11%35-24%46-19%57-24%51+29%21+0%10+15%13+18%17-3%31+3%29+23%26+17%6+0%755+17%65542CATCHER'S VIEW
Judgment — swing% vs optimal
−35%−15%0+15%+35%
  • Red cells — swings more than an optimal batter would here (chasing).
  • Blue cells — swings less than optimal (too passive).
  • Number in cell: swing%-delta vs optimal. Top-right: pitches seen.
Total pitches shown: 1,000