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  • Projections
    In-house Bayesian model · career prior + aging × stuff/discipline signals
  • Plate Discipline
    Decision+ · chase / passive cost · K% · BB%
  • Command & Stuff
    Pitching+ · Stuff+ · Command+ · meatball rate
  • Pitcher Stuff Lab
    In-zone whiff · xwOBAcon · tunnel · deception · count predictability
  • Stuff Model (diag)
    From-scratch XGBoost training runs, feature importance, pitcher grades
  • Expected Points
    Luck-neutral fantasy points · xSLG / xwOBA · ΔPts
  • Hitter Frontier
    Power × discipline tradeoff · Pareto-frontier hitters
  • Pitcher Frontier
    Process × contact-suppression · pound the zone vs limit damage
  • Hitter Vulnerabilities
    Biggest pitch-trait strengths & weaknesses · vs league or vs own
  • AAA Hitters
    Triple-A bats · xwOBA · contact quality · discipline · frontier
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Position cohort

Pitching value vs. SP peers

Each bar is one SP, ordered left-to-right by Value (blended). Center dot is VORP; whiskers span V⁻ → V⁺.

0+50+100+150
James Paxton

James Paxton

P·FA
Compare
Compare
Career Seasons
YrGGSIPWLSVHLDERAFIPK%BB%K-BB%xwOBABABIPLOB%GB%PtsPPG
Proj112.900005.114.9519.2%9.6%9.6%————46.13
20242222105.393004.444.7916.7%11.4%5.3%.340.27171.7%39.0%1667.55
2023191996.0750
2026 MLB Percentiles

Pitching Profile

No MLB Statcast pitching rows for 2026.

0
4.50
4.53
24.6%
8.0%
16.6%
.303
.292
74.9%
42.9%
177
9.32
2021339.710001.861.0340.0%20.0%20.0%.172.28680.0%50.0%4013.33
20205520.311006.644.2828.9%7.8%21.1%.314.36555.1%32.1%275.40
20193333169.3176003.773.6829.2%8.6%20.6%.292.31977.0%40.3%41212.48
20182929165.3126003.763.2832.2%6.5%25.7%.288.29976.5%41.1%43915.14
20172525139.0125002.912.5228.2%6.7%21.5%.261.30176.2%45.8%36814.72
20162121125.077004.183.1522.9%4.7%18.2%.284.34666.1%48.8%2069.81
2015161677.346004.424.3318.9%9.8%9.1%.331.31468.9%49.5%885.50