Flanker the ClankerFlanker
Rankings
Leaderboards
  • Projections
    In-house Bayesian model · career prior + aging × stuff/discipline signals
  • Plate Discipline
    Decision+ · chase / passive cost · K% · BB%
  • Command & Stuff
    Pitching+ · Stuff+ · Command+ · meatball rate
  • Pitcher Stuff Lab
    In-zone whiff · xwOBAcon · tunnel · deception · count predictability
  • Stuff Model (diag)
    From-scratch XGBoost training runs, feature importance, pitcher grades
  • Expected Points
    Luck-neutral fantasy points · xSLG / xwOBA · ΔPts
  • Hitter Frontier
    Power × discipline tradeoff · Pareto-frontier hitters
  • Pitcher Frontier
    Process × contact-suppression · pound the zone vs limit damage
  • Hitter Vulnerabilities
    Biggest pitch-trait strengths & weaknesses · vs league or vs own
  • AAA Hitters
    Triple-A bats · xwOBA · contact quality · discipline · frontier
StreamersSign inConnect league →
Position cohort

Hitting value vs. OF peers

Rank #25 of 234

Each bar is one OF, ordered left-to-right by Value (blended). Center dot is VORP; whiskers span V⁻ → V⁺. This player is highlighted in blue.

-500+50+100+150+200Jarren Duran
Jarren Duran · #25
V⁻ -8VORP 31V⁺ 60
Jarren Duran

Jarren Duran

OF·BOS
Compare
Compare
PA
265
H
50
HR
10
AVG
.207
xwOBA
.299
PPG
1.92
Career Seasons
YrGPAAVGOBPSLGISOxwOBAK%BB%K-BB%HRSBPtsPPGxPPG
Proj91395.255.324.437.181.33623.8%8.2%15.6%12162102.31—
202660265.207
2026 MLB Percentiles

Hitting Profile

Expected Results
xwOBA
16
.299
xBA
14
.223
xSLG
.270
.384
.177
.299
28.7%
6.8%
21.9%
10
11
115
1.92
—
2025165697.256.333.441.185.32724.2%8.6%15.6%16263772.28—
2024166737.284.342.490.206.34321.7%7.3%14.4%21344612.78—
2023105363.294.347.480.186.32724.8%6.6%18.2%8242102.00—
202264223.221.284.363.142.28728.3%6.3%22.0%38821.28—
202139112.215.243.336.121.24635.7%3.6%32.1%23350.90—
24
.380
Quality of Contact
Avg EV
55
90.1
Median EV
38
91.7
90th % EV
86
108.2
Barrel %
67
11.4
Hard-Hit %
38
40.4
Sweet-Spot %
17
31.9
Bat Speed
Avg
80
73.2
Median
78
74.4
90th %
76
78.6
Plate Discipline
Chase %
22
34.5
Whiff %
4
32.8
K %
12
28.7
BB %
17
6.8
Swing Decisions

Plate Discipline · Decision+

Expected-run-value of every swing-or-take decision, against a league-average batter’s optimum. 100 = avg · 110 = 1 SD better.

Decision+
87
≈ 9th pctl
Chase cost
-7.9r
69 swings @ bad pitch
Passive cost
-1.8r
35 takes @ hittable pitch
Swing rate
50.8%
313 pitches seen
Runs per 100
-3.09
lg avg -2.53
Count
View
53142+45%11+33%12+9%11544+57%7+29%17-28%25-31%16+0%14+38%83+54%13+10%20-50%18-25%16+11%943+33%6+0%6+33%645+29%7131411CATCHER'S VIEW
Judgment — swing% vs optimal
−35%−15%0+15%+35%
  • Red cells — swings more than an optimal batter would here (chasing).
  • Blue cells — swings less than optimal (too passive).
  • Number in cell: swing%-delta vs optimal. Top-right: pitches seen.
Total pitches shown: 313