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  • Projections
    In-house Bayesian model · career prior + aging × stuff/discipline signals
  • Plate Discipline
    Decision+ · chase / passive cost · K% · BB%
  • Command & Stuff
    Pitching+ · Stuff+ · Command+ · meatball rate
  • Pitcher Stuff Lab
    In-zone whiff · xwOBAcon · tunnel · deception · count predictability
  • Stuff Model (diag)
    From-scratch XGBoost training runs, feature importance, pitcher grades
  • Expected Points
    Luck-neutral fantasy points · xSLG / xwOBA · ΔPts
  • Hitter Frontier
    Power × discipline tradeoff · Pareto-frontier hitters
  • Pitcher Frontier
    Process × contact-suppression · pound the zone vs limit damage
  • Hitter Vulnerabilities
    Biggest pitch-trait strengths & weaknesses · vs league or vs own
  • AAA Hitters
    Triple-A bats · xwOBA · contact quality · discipline · frontier
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Javier Báez

Javier Báez

3B / SS / OF·DET
Compare
Compare
PA
437
H
107
HR
12
AVG
.257
xwOBA
.271
PPG
1.56
Career Seasons
YrGPAAVGOBPSLGISOxwOBAK%BB%K-BB%HRSBPtsPPGxPPG
20262482.256.284.397.141.29319.5%2.4%17.1%21351.46—
2025136437.257
2025 MLB Percentiles

Hitting Profile

437 PA — below qualified cutoff. Percentiles vs. qualified pool (faded).

Expected Results
xwOBA
0
.271
xBA
10
.230
.284
.398
.141
.271
24.9%
2.3%
22.6%
12
6
212
1.56
—
202484289.184.224.294.110.26923.9%4.2%19.7%681021.21—
2023141547.222.269.325.103.28222.9%4.4%18.5%9122071.47—
2022156592.237.278.391.154.28624.8%4.4%20.4%1792611.67—
2021145549.264.319.492.228.32333.5%5.1%28.4%31192881.99—
202063235.203.240.360.157.27431.9%3.0%28.9%83681.08—
2019139561.281.317.531.250.33527.8%5.0%22.8%29113542.55—
2018166646.290.328.554.264.34725.9%4.5%21.4%34224432.67—
2017150509.272.317.479.207.30528.3%5.9%22.4%23132821.88—
xSLG
6
.362
Quality of Contact
Avg EV
20
88.2
Median EV
22
91.2
90th % EV
18
103.1
Barrel %
12
5.5
Hard-Hit %
26
39.9
Sweet-Spot %
12
32.5
Bat Speed
Avg
75
72.1
Median
62
72.7
90th %
72
78.4
Plate Discipline
Chase %
0
46.0
Whiff %
15
28.4
K %
26
24.9
BB %
0
2.3
Swing Decisions

Plate Discipline · Decision+

Expected-run-value of every swing-or-take decision, against a league-average batter’s optimum. 100 = avg · 110 = 1 SD better.

Decision+
65
≈ 1th pctl
Chase cost
-48.4r
447 swings @ bad pitch
Passive cost
-12.0r
216 takes @ hittable pitch
Swing rate
54.6%
1,584 pitches seen
Runs per 100
-3.81
lg avg -2.53
Count
View
23545+18%11+26%19+21%28+43%21+57%14+57%7+83%12+3%34-31%45-30%56-29%41+76%17+57%14+68%31+12%41-24%62-31%68-29%52+36%22+75%16+41%17+51%41+49%55+20%40+33%15+70%103+36%14+36%22+46%13+40%15432CATCHER'S VIEW
Judgment — swing% vs optimal
−35%−15%0+15%+35%
  • Red cells — swings more than an optimal batter would here (chasing).
  • Blue cells — swings less than optimal (too passive).
  • Number in cell: swing%-delta vs optimal. Top-right: pitches seen.
Total pitches shown: 1,000