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  • Projections
    In-house Bayesian model · career prior + aging × stuff/discipline signals
  • Plate Discipline
    Decision+ · chase / passive cost · K% · BB%
  • Command & Stuff
    Pitching+ · Stuff+ · Command+ · meatball rate
  • Pitcher Stuff Lab
    In-zone whiff · xwOBAcon · tunnel · deception · count predictability
  • Stuff Model (diag)
    From-scratch XGBoost training runs, feature importance, pitcher grades
  • Expected Points
    Luck-neutral fantasy points · xSLG / xwOBA · ΔPts
  • Hitter Frontier
    Power × discipline tradeoff · Pareto-frontier hitters
  • Pitcher Frontier
    Process × contact-suppression · pound the zone vs limit damage
  • Hitter Vulnerabilities
    Biggest pitch-trait strengths & weaknesses · vs league or vs own
  • AAA Hitters
    Triple-A bats · xwOBA · contact quality · discipline · frontier
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Javier Sanoja

Javier Sanoja

2B / 3B / OF·MIA
Compare
Compare
BF
54
K %
1.9%
BB %
9.3%
xwOBA
.432
PTS
-34
PPG
-4.25
Career Seasons
YrGGSIPWLSVHLDERAFIPK%BB%K-BB%xwOBABABIPLOB%GB%PtsPPG
2026202.000000.002.1014.3%0.0%14.3%.399.167100.0%0.0%63.00
2025 MLB Percentiles

Pitching Profile

54 BF — below qualified cutoff. Percentiles vs. qualified pool (faded).

Arsenal
FB Velo
0
—
FB Spin
0
—
2025
8
0
9.3
0
0
0
0
16.39
10.06
1.9%
9.3%
-7.4%
.432
.455
51.3%
22.9%
-34
-4.25
Extension
0
4.08
Results
xwOBA
0
.432
Barrel %
59
8.3
Hard-Hit %
69
39.6
K %
0
1.9
BB %
17
9.3
Chase %
22
26.0
Whiff %
0
9.3
Command & Stuff

Pitching+

Expected run-value conceded per pitch against a rational hitter, standardized against the season. 100 = avg · 110 = 1 SD better.

Pitching+
-98
≈ 1th pctl
Stuff+
-75
if they swing
Command+
81
out-of-zone take RV
Strike quality+
-120
RV of in-zone pitches
Crushable pitches
68.8%
117 meatballs
Putaway counts (0-2, 1-2)
0.136
RV per pitch · league 0.046
+0.090 worse than avg · 29 pitches
Lower RV = more wasted whiff chances when they choose not to put hitters away.
Hitter's counts (3-0, 3-1, 2-0)
0.087
RV per pitch · league 0.032
+0.056 worse than avg · 14 pitches
How often they groove get-me-overs vs. nibble safely.
Based on 170 pitches. RV = Statcast delta_run_exp; lower = better for the pitcher.
Pitch Arsenal
PitchUsageVeloSpinIVBHBExtWhiff%Zone%CSW%Chase%PutAway%xwOBA
OtherFA
98.8%62.61579+11.4+10.54.089.4%43.5%14.9%26.3%3.6%0.437
Slow CurveCS
0.6%56.71736

2025 Movement Profile (Induced Break)

MLB Avg.
6"12"18"24"24"24"24"1B ◀ MOVES TOWARD ▶ 3B▲MORERISE▼MOREDROPARMANGLE14°100 PITCHSAMPLE
FACSEP
Usage99%1%1%
MPH62.656.744.7
RHP Avg68.4—49.1
+0.8
-9.1
4.50
—
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
—
EephusEP
0.6%44.71121+18.2+4.84.800.0%100.0%0.0%——0.145

2025 Swing-Out Snapshot

Commit at the decision point, then fast-forward 150ms. Where is each pitch when your bat crosses the zone? Two views of the same moment — catcher-facing and from the side.

Catcher View
horizontal × vertical
0.5′1′1.5′2′2.5′3′DECISIONPOINTEP · 13″FA · 15″CS · 20″arm side ◀ ▶ glove sidedrops ◀ ▶ rises
Side View
depth × vertical
1′2′3′4′5′6′-3′0′5′10′15′20′23′EP · 150″FA · 104″CS · 119″DECISION POINTPLATEfeet to plate
swing time150 ms

Each pitch is launched from a shared decision point (5.00′ height) and advanced using its own Statcast kinematics (release velocity + constant acceleration, so gravity, drag, and Magnus are all in the curve). RHP.

2025 Tunneling

Where pitches are when the hitter commits — and where they end up. Tighter cluster on the left = more deceptive arsenal.

At Decision
23 ft out · ~280ms before arrival
FACSEP-2′-1′0′1′2′1′2′3′4′1B ◀ catcher view ▶ 3B
At the Plate
Where they actually cross
FACSEP-2′-1′0′1′2′1′2′3′4′1B ◀ catcher view ▶ 3B
FACSEP

Decision point computed from Statcast kinematics (vx0/vy0/vz0, ax/ay/az) by projecting each pitch back to y = 23 ft. Coordinates in catcher’s view: 1B on the left, 3B on the right. RHP.