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  • Projections
    In-house Bayesian model · career prior + aging × stuff/discipline signals
  • Plate Discipline
    Decision+ · chase / passive cost · K% · BB%
  • Command & Stuff
    Pitching+ · Stuff+ · Command+ · meatball rate
  • Pitcher Stuff Lab
    In-zone whiff · xwOBAcon · tunnel · deception · count predictability
  • Stuff Model (diag)
    From-scratch XGBoost training runs, feature importance, pitcher grades
  • Expected Points
    Luck-neutral fantasy points · xSLG / xwOBA · ΔPts
  • Hitter Frontier
    Power × discipline tradeoff · Pareto-frontier hitters
  • Pitcher Frontier
    Process × contact-suppression · pound the zone vs limit damage
  • Hitter Vulnerabilities
    Biggest pitch-trait strengths & weaknesses · vs league or vs own
  • AAA Hitters
    Triple-A bats · xwOBA · contact quality · discipline · frontier
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Jazz Chisholm Jr.

Jazz Chisholm Jr.

2B / 3B·NYY
Compare
Compare
PA
384
H
88
HR
19
AVG
.249
xwOBA
.307
PPG
1.87
Career Seasons
YrGPAAVGOBPSLGISOxwOBAK%BB%K-BB%HRSBPtsPPGxPPG
202663254.233.310.392.159.29028.3%9.4%18.9%8161201.90—
2025142531.242
2023 MLB Percentiles

Hitting Profile

384 PA — below qualified cutoff. Percentiles vs. qualified pool (faded).

Expected Results
xwOBA
11
.307
xBA
3
.219
.335
.481
.239
.347
27.9%
10.9%
17.0%
31
33
348
2.45
—
2024163621.256.325.436.180.32224.5%8.5%16.0%24463552.18—
2023101384.249.304.456.207.30730.7%6.8%23.9%19241891.87—
202271241.254.329.535.281.35227.4%8.7%18.7%14131852.61—
2021132507.248.305.425.177.30828.6%6.7%21.9%18262531.92—
20202162.161.242.321.160.26930.6%8.1%22.5%22231.10—
xSLG
41
.431
Quality of Contact
Avg EV
33
88.6
Median EV
50
92.3
90th % EV
69
106.4
Barrel %
78
12.2
Hard-Hit %
50
41.8
Sweet-Spot %
0
26.6
Bat Speed
Avg
65
71.2
Median
66
72.6
90th %
67
77.8
Plate Discipline
Chase %
61
26.5
Whiff %
0
34.6
K %
4
30.7
BB %
28
6.8
Swing Decisions

Plate Discipline · Decision+

Expected-run-value of every swing-or-take decision, against a league-average batter’s optimum. 100 = avg · 110 = 1 SD better.

Decision+
91
≈ 19th pctl
Chase cost
-32.4r
273 swings @ bad pitch
Passive cost
-13.1r
235 takes @ hittable pitch
Swing rate
44.7%
1,590 pitches seen
Runs per 100
-2.86
lg avg -2.54
Count
View
3+33%6+17%12+8%13+0%7+0%7+0%6+18%22+28%40+22%51+11%53+14%28+7%15+0%8+29%34-5%56-30%76-31%61-18%44+37%27+56%9+38%26+6%47-23%39-20%40-6%33+17%185+25%8+16%25+24%21+8%24+7%14+29%713+11%9+17%65211CATCHER'S VIEW
Judgment — swing% vs optimal
−35%−15%0+15%+35%
  • Red cells — swings more than an optimal batter would here (chasing).
  • Blue cells — swings less than optimal (too passive).
  • Number in cell: swing%-delta vs optimal. Top-right: pitches seen.
Total pitches shown: 1,000