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  • Projections
    In-house Bayesian model · career prior + aging × stuff/discipline signals
  • Plate Discipline
    Decision+ · chase / passive cost · K% · BB%
  • Command & Stuff
    Pitching+ · Stuff+ · Command+ · meatball rate
  • Pitcher Stuff Lab
    In-zone whiff · xwOBAcon · tunnel · deception · count predictability
  • Stuff Model (diag)
    From-scratch XGBoost training runs, feature importance, pitcher grades
  • Expected Points
    Luck-neutral fantasy points · xSLG / xwOBA · ΔPts
  • Hitter Frontier
    Power × discipline tradeoff · Pareto-frontier hitters
  • Pitcher Frontier
    Process × contact-suppression · pound the zone vs limit damage
  • Hitter Vulnerabilities
    Biggest pitch-trait strengths & weaknesses · vs league or vs own
  • AAA Hitters
    Triple-A bats · xwOBA · contact quality · discipline · frontier
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Jazz Chisholm Jr.

Jazz Chisholm Jr.

2B / 3B·NYY
Compare
Compare
PA
621
H
144
HR
24
AVG
.256
xwOBA
.322
PPG
2.18
Career Seasons
YrGPAAVGOBPSLGISOxwOBAK%BB%K-BB%HRSBPtsPPGxPPG
202665268.235.316.408.173.29428.4%10.1%18.3%9181302.00—
2025142531.242
2024 MLB Percentiles

Hitting Profile

Expected Results
xwOBA
28
.322
xBA
10
.230
xSLG
.335
.481
.239
.347
27.9%
10.9%
17.0%
31
33
348
2.45
—
2024163621.256.325.436.180.32224.5%8.5%16.0%24463552.18—
2023101384.249.304.456.207.30730.7%6.8%23.9%19241891.87—
202271241.254.329.535.281.35227.4%8.7%18.7%14131852.61—
2021132507.248.305.425.177.30828.6%6.7%21.9%18262531.92—
20202162.161.242.321.160.26930.6%8.1%22.5%22231.10—
36
.413
Quality of Contact
Avg EV
39
88.9
Median EV
56
92.8
90th % EV
39
104.2
Barrel %
58
9.7
Hard-Hit %
45
41.0
Sweet-Spot %
11
31.8
Bat Speed
Avg
52
70.3
Median
52
71.5
90th %
56
76.9
Plate Discipline
Chase %
40
28.9
Whiff %
20
27.1
K %
29
24.5
BB %
51
8.5
Swing Decisions

Plate Discipline · Decision+

Expected-run-value of every swing-or-take decision, against a league-average batter’s optimum. 100 = avg · 110 = 1 SD better.

Decision+
88
≈ 12th pctl
Chase cost
-51.8r
455 swings @ bad pitch
Passive cost
-20.3r
358 takes @ hittable pitch
Swing rate
47.1%
2,485 pitches seen
Runs per 100
-2.90
lg avg -2.53
Count
View
+0%95+7%15+19%165+0%62+33%21+11%38+16%43-2%43+11%35+32%195+40%30+13%55-37%71-29%70-15%48+46%245+38%24+3%35-31%55-17%48-37%30+33%15+29%7+18%11+13%15+33%15-10%30+22%18+50%8+17%63555411CATCHER'S VIEW
Judgment — swing% vs optimal
−35%−15%0+15%+35%
  • Red cells — swings more than an optimal batter would here (chasing).
  • Blue cells — swings less than optimal (too passive).
  • Number in cell: swing%-delta vs optimal. Top-right: pitches seen.
Total pitches shown: 1,000