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  • Projections
    In-house Bayesian model · career prior + aging × stuff/discipline signals
  • Plate Discipline
    Decision+ · chase / passive cost · K% · BB%
  • Command & Stuff
    Pitching+ · Stuff+ · Command+ · meatball rate
  • Pitcher Stuff Lab
    In-zone whiff · xwOBAcon · tunnel · deception · count predictability
  • Stuff Model (diag)
    From-scratch XGBoost training runs, feature importance, pitcher grades
  • Expected Points
    Luck-neutral fantasy points · xSLG / xwOBA · ΔPts
  • Hitter Frontier
    Power × discipline tradeoff · Pareto-frontier hitters
  • Pitcher Frontier
    Process × contact-suppression · pound the zone vs limit damage
  • Hitter Vulnerabilities
    Biggest pitch-trait strengths & weaknesses · vs league or vs own
  • AAA Hitters
    Triple-A bats · xwOBA · contact quality · discipline · frontier
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Jazz Chisholm Jr.

Jazz Chisholm Jr.

2B / 3B·NYY
Compare
Compare
PA
531
H
112
HR
31
AVG
.242
xwOBA
.347
PPG
2.45
Career Seasons
YrGPAAVGOBPSLGISOxwOBAK%BB%K-BB%HRSBPtsPPGxPPG
202663254.233.310.392.159.29028.3%9.4%18.9%8161201.90—
2025142531.242
2025 MLB Percentiles

Hitting Profile

Expected Results
xwOBA
66
.347
xBA
9
.229
xSLG
.335
.481
.239
.347
27.9%
10.9%
17.0%
31
33
348
2.45
—
2024163621.256.325.436.180.32224.5%8.5%16.0%24463552.18—
2023101384.249.304.456.207.30730.7%6.8%23.9%19241891.87—
202271241.254.329.535.281.35227.4%8.7%18.7%14131852.61—
2021132507.248.305.425.177.30828.6%6.7%21.9%18262531.92—
20202162.161.242.321.160.26930.6%8.1%22.5%22231.10—
72
.474
Quality of Contact
Avg EV
21
88.3
Median EV
28
91.8
90th % EV
46
105.4
Barrel %
87
15.0
Hard-Hit %
41
43.3
Sweet-Spot %
14
32.9
Bat Speed
Avg
79
72.4
Median
74
73.5
90th %
74
78.6
Plate Discipline
Chase %
52
26.6
Whiff %
5
30.8
K %
7
27.9
BB %
74
10.9
Swing Decisions

Plate Discipline · Decision+

Expected-run-value of every swing-or-take decision, against a league-average batter’s optimum. 100 = avg · 110 = 1 SD better.

Decision+
99
≈ 46th pctl
Chase cost
-36.6r
356 swings @ bad pitch
Passive cost
-18.9r
287 takes @ hittable pitch
Swing rate
46.7%
2,166 pitches seen
Runs per 100
-2.56
lg avg -2.53
Count
View
55+9%11+0%9+0%1234+18%11+8%39+16%43+15%46+15%40+17%18+0%8+29%38+5%58-29%58-27%63-32%56+22%32+38%16+43%23+17%40-36%64-17%52-30%27+37%27+17%6+33%15+32%19+40%15+23%22+46%1355231221CATCHER'S VIEW
Judgment — swing% vs optimal
−35%−15%0+15%+35%
  • Red cells — swings more than an optimal batter would here (chasing).
  • Blue cells — swings less than optimal (too passive).
  • Number in cell: swing%-delta vs optimal. Top-right: pitches seen.
Total pitches shown: 1,000