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  • Projections
    In-house Bayesian model · career prior + aging × stuff/discipline signals
  • Plate Discipline
    Decision+ · chase / passive cost · K% · BB%
  • Command & Stuff
    Pitching+ · Stuff+ · Command+ · meatball rate
  • Pitcher Stuff Lab
    In-zone whiff · xwOBAcon · tunnel · deception · count predictability
  • Stuff Model (diag)
    From-scratch XGBoost training runs, feature importance, pitcher grades
  • Expected Points
    Luck-neutral fantasy points · xSLG / xwOBA · ΔPts
  • Hitter Frontier
    Power × discipline tradeoff · Pareto-frontier hitters
  • Pitcher Frontier
    Process × contact-suppression · pound the zone vs limit damage
  • Hitter Vulnerabilities
    Biggest pitch-trait strengths & weaknesses · vs league or vs own
  • AAA Hitters
    Triple-A bats · xwOBA · contact quality · discipline · frontier
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J.D. Martinez

J.D. Martinez

H·FA
Compare
Compare
PA
480
H
117
HR
33
AVG
.270
xwOBA
.370
PPG
2.61
Career Seasons
YrGPAAVGOBPSLGISOxwOBAK%BB%K-BB%HRSBPtsPPGxPPG
2024128495.235.321.406.171.35628.5%9.9%18.6%1602121.66—
2023122480.270
2023 MLB Percentiles

Hitting Profile

480 PA — below qualified cutoff. Percentiles vs. qualified pool (faded).

Expected Results
xwOBA
84
.370
xBA
68
.265
.326
.570
.300
.370
31.0%
7.1%
23.9%
33
1
318
2.61
—
2022152597.273.343.448.175.35424.3%8.7%15.6%1602901.91—
2021166634.286.352.518.232.37723.7%8.7%15.0%2804462.69—
202055238.212.292.387.175.32624.8%9.2%15.6%711061.93—
2019152658.304.385.556.252.40621.0%10.9%10.1%3624663.07—
2018172652.329.405.626.297.42622.4%10.6%11.8%4365943.45—
2017123489.303.379.690.387.44026.2%10.8%15.4%4544213.42—
2016127517.307.377.535.228.40124.8%9.5%15.3%2213292.59—
2015171658.281.345.534.253.40227.1%8.1%19.0%3834232.47—
xSLG
94
.553
Quality of Contact
Avg EV
96
93.4
Median EV
94
96.4
90th % EV
80
107.3
Barrel %
98
17.1
Hard-Hit %
96
55.1
Sweet-Spot %
97
42.8
Bat Speed
Avg
59
70.8
Median
66
72.6
90th %
58
77.1
Plate Discipline
Chase %
24
32.1
Whiff %
3
32.5
K %
3
31.0
BB %
31
7.1
Swing Decisions

Plate Discipline · Decision+

Expected-run-value of every swing-or-take decision, against a league-average batter’s optimum. 100 = avg · 110 = 1 SD better.

Decision+
103
≈ 60th pctl
Chase cost
-36.7r
380 swings @ bad pitch
Passive cost
-11.4r
194 takes @ hittable pitch
Swing rate
53.5%
1,966 pitches seen
Runs per 100
-2.44
lg avg -2.54
Count
View
212+13%8+0%1031+17%12+22%9+27%22+40%35+52%31+35%17+0%7+58%12+12%34-22%55-15%61-20%40+30%20+42%12+48%29+30%57-22%51-23%65-24%51+33%30+38%13+13%15+22%37-3%40+0%41+0%17+30%102+29%7+29%14+14%14+25%8+0%72CATCHER'S VIEW
Judgment — swing% vs optimal
−35%−15%0+15%+35%
  • Red cells — swings more than an optimal batter would here (chasing).
  • Blue cells — swings less than optimal (too passive).
  • Number in cell: swing%-delta vs optimal. Top-right: pitches seen.
Total pitches shown: 1,000