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  • Projections
    In-house Bayesian model · career prior + aging × stuff/discipline signals
  • Plate Discipline
    Decision+ · chase / passive cost · K% · BB%
  • Command & Stuff
    Pitching+ · Stuff+ · Command+ · meatball rate
  • Pitcher Stuff Lab
    In-zone whiff · xwOBAcon · tunnel · deception · count predictability
  • Stuff Model (diag)
    From-scratch XGBoost training runs, feature importance, pitcher grades
  • Expected Points
    Luck-neutral fantasy points · xSLG / xwOBA · ΔPts
  • Hitter Frontier
    Power × discipline tradeoff · Pareto-frontier hitters
  • Pitcher Frontier
    Process × contact-suppression · pound the zone vs limit damage
  • Hitter Vulnerabilities
    Biggest pitch-trait strengths & weaknesses · vs league or vs own
  • AAA Hitters
    Triple-A bats · xwOBA · contact quality · discipline · frontier
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J.D. Martinez

J.D. Martinez

H·FA
Compare
Compare
PA
495
H
102
HR
16
AVG
.235
xwOBA
.356
PPG
1.66
Career Seasons
YrGPAAVGOBPSLGISOxwOBAK%BB%K-BB%HRSBPtsPPGxPPG
2024128495.235.321.406.171.35628.5%9.9%18.6%1602121.66—
2023122480.270
2024 MLB Percentiles

Hitting Profile

495 PA — below qualified cutoff. Percentiles vs. qualified pool (faded).

Expected Results
xwOBA
81
.356
xBA
54
.252
.326
.570
.300
.370
31.0%
7.1%
23.9%
33
1
318
2.61
—
2022152597.273.343.448.175.35424.3%8.7%15.6%1602901.91—
2021166634.286.352.518.232.37723.7%8.7%15.0%2804462.69—
202055238.212.292.387.175.32624.8%9.2%15.6%711061.93—
2019152658.304.385.556.252.40621.0%10.9%10.1%3624663.07—
2018172652.329.405.626.297.42622.4%10.6%11.8%4365943.45—
2017123489.303.379.690.387.44026.2%10.8%15.4%4544213.42—
2016127517.307.377.535.228.40124.8%9.5%15.3%2213292.59—
2015171658.281.345.534.253.40227.1%8.1%19.0%3834232.47—
xSLG
81
.480
Quality of Contact
Avg EV
73
91.0
Median EV
70
93.8
90th % EV
62
105.7
Barrel %
92
14.9
Hard-Hit %
69
46.1
Sweet-Spot %
97
42.4
Bat Speed
Avg
60
70.8
Median
65
72.5
90th %
65
77.6
Plate Discipline
Chase %
35
29.9
Whiff %
8
29.7
K %
8
28.5
BB %
65
9.9
Swing Decisions

Plate Discipline · Decision+

Expected-run-value of every swing-or-take decision, against a league-average batter’s optimum. 100 = avg · 110 = 1 SD better.

Decision+
100
≈ 49th pctl
Chase cost
-35.9r
359 swings @ bad pitch
Passive cost
-16.3r
259 takes @ hittable pitch
Swing rate
48.5%
2,052 pitches seen
Runs per 100
-2.54
lg avg -2.53
Count
View
345+17%6+33%652+50%8+57%7+8%25+13%24+13%15+44%16+17%6+50%14+12%33-19%47-24%45-14%50+15%26+30%10+38%26+41%41-21%80-25%61-28%47+30%30+20%10+30%23+33%40+18%55+3%32+5%20+15%13+18%11+15%13+18%22+9%11+17%652CATCHER'S VIEW
Judgment — swing% vs optimal
−35%−15%0+15%+35%
  • Red cells — swings more than an optimal batter would here (chasing).
  • Blue cells — swings less than optimal (too passive).
  • Number in cell: swing%-delta vs optimal. Top-right: pitches seen.
Total pitches shown: 1,000