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  • Projections
    In-house Bayesian model · career prior + aging × stuff/discipline signals
  • Plate Discipline
    Decision+ · chase / passive cost · K% · BB%
  • Command & Stuff
    Pitching+ · Stuff+ · Command+ · meatball rate
  • Pitcher Stuff Lab
    In-zone whiff · xwOBAcon · tunnel · deception · count predictability
  • Stuff Model (diag)
    From-scratch XGBoost training runs, feature importance, pitcher grades
  • Expected Points
    Luck-neutral fantasy points · xSLG / xwOBA · ΔPts
  • Hitter Frontier
    Power × discipline tradeoff · Pareto-frontier hitters
  • Pitcher Frontier
    Process × contact-suppression · pound the zone vs limit damage
  • Hitter Vulnerabilities
    Biggest pitch-trait strengths & weaknesses · vs league or vs own
  • AAA Hitters
    Triple-A bats · xwOBA · contact quality · discipline · frontier
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Jeimer Candelario

Jeimer Candelario

1B / 3B·LAA
Compare
Compare
PA
464
H
96
HR
20
AVG
.224
xwOBA
.286
PPG
1.88
Career Seasons
YrGPAAVGOBPSLGISOxwOBAK%BB%K-BB%HRSBPtsPPGxPPG
2026720.111.200.222.111.21640.0%5.0%35.0%0010.14—
20252692.111
2024 MLB Percentiles

Hitting Profile

464 PA — below qualified cutoff. Percentiles vs. qualified pool (faded).

Expected Results
xwOBA
3
.286
xBA
5
.220
.200
.210
.099
.214
31.5%
9.8%
21.7%
2
0
19
0.73
—
2024116464.224.280.428.204.28624.6%5.8%18.8%2042181.88—
2023147576.251.338.471.220.32122.0%9.2%12.8%2293402.31—
2022136468.216.274.360.144.29623.3%6.0%17.3%1301931.42—
2021156626.271.351.443.172.35921.6%10.4%11.2%1603322.13—
202054206.297.369.503.206.35623.8%9.7%14.1%711242.30—
201996386.203.306.337.134.31125.6%11.1%14.5%831501.56—
2018148620.224.319.393.169.29625.8%10.6%15.2%1942761.86—
201744142.283.359.425.142.31521.1%9.2%11.9%30781.77—
xSLG
13
.377
Quality of Contact
Avg EV
12
86.9
Median EV
8
89.5
90th % EV
19
102.7
Barrel %
44
8.2
Hard-Hit %
13
34.5
Sweet-Spot %
45
35.4
Bat Speed
Avg
8
66.4
Median
13
68.4
90th %
10
73.3
Plate Discipline
Chase %
11
34.7
Whiff %
26
26.4
K %
28
24.6
BB %
10
5.8
Swing Decisions

Plate Discipline · Decision+

Expected-run-value of every swing-or-take decision, against a league-average batter’s optimum. 100 = avg · 110 = 1 SD better.

Decision+
90
≈ 16th pctl
Chase cost
-38.7r
375 swings @ bad pitch
Passive cost
-12.0r
213 takes @ hittable pitch
Swing rate
51.7%
1,778 pitches seen
Runs per 100
-2.85
lg avg -2.53
Count
View
3+17%6+27%15+13%8+0%1054+43%14+42%26+32%37+29%28+27%26+18%115+64%22+11%57-24%66-25%68-12%50+36%28+11%9+63%24+0%42-21%57-20%44-8%48+19%21+22%9+42%12+29%14+39%33+38%21+39%18+33%15445+50%8+0%103CATCHER'S VIEW
Judgment — swing% vs optimal
−35%−15%0+15%+35%
  • Red cells — swings more than an optimal batter would here (chasing).
  • Blue cells — swings less than optimal (too passive).
  • Number in cell: swing%-delta vs optimal. Top-right: pitches seen.
Total pitches shown: 1,000