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  • Projections
    In-house Bayesian model · career prior + aging × stuff/discipline signals
  • Plate Discipline
    Decision+ · chase / passive cost · K% · BB%
  • Command & Stuff
    Pitching+ · Stuff+ · Command+ · meatball rate
  • Pitcher Stuff Lab
    In-zone whiff · xwOBAcon · tunnel · deception · count predictability
  • Stuff Model (diag)
    From-scratch XGBoost training runs, feature importance, pitcher grades
  • Expected Points
    Luck-neutral fantasy points · xSLG / xwOBA · ΔPts
  • Hitter Frontier
    Power × discipline tradeoff · Pareto-frontier hitters
  • Pitcher Frontier
    Process × contact-suppression · pound the zone vs limit damage
  • Hitter Vulnerabilities
    Biggest pitch-trait strengths & weaknesses · vs league or vs own
  • AAA Hitters
    Triple-A bats · xwOBA · contact quality · discipline · frontier
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Position cohort

Hitting value vs. OF peers

Rank #131 of 234

Each bar is one OF, ordered left-to-right by Value (blended). Center dot is VORP; whiskers span V⁻ → V⁺. This player is highlighted in blue.

-500+50+100+150+200Jeremiah Jackson
Jeremiah Jackson · #60
V⁻ -21VORP -4V⁺ 10
Jeremiah Jackson

Jeremiah Jackson

2B / 3B / OF·BAL
Compare
Compare
PA
180
H
44
HR
6
AVG
.254
xwOBA
.295
PPG
1.69
Career Seasons
YrGPAAVGOBPSLGISOxwOBAK%BB%K-BB%HRSBPtsPPGxPPG
Proj42182.242.279.400.158.30022.8%4.6%18.1%63811.92—
202651180.254
2026 MLB Percentiles

Hitting Profile

180 PA — below qualified cutoff. Percentiles vs. qualified pool (faded).

Expected Results
xwOBA
13
.295
xBA
50
.255
.275
.399
.145
.295
20.0%
2.2%
17.8%
6
1
86
1.69
—
202548185.273.324.442.169.29527.0%5.9%21.1%50801.67—
xSLG
40
.403
Quality of Contact
Avg EV
43
89.4
Median EV
26
90.5
90th % EV
55
105.6
Barrel %
40
7.9
Hard-Hit %
38
40.3
Sweet-Spot %
11
30.9
Bat Speed
Avg
62
71.2
Median
56
72.4
90th %
67
78.0
Plate Discipline
Chase %
11
37.3
Whiff %
38
23.9
K %
55
20.0
BB %
0
2.2
Swing Decisions

Plate Discipline · Decision+

Expected-run-value of every swing-or-take decision, against a league-average batter’s optimum. 100 = avg · 110 = 1 SD better.

Decision+
107
≈ 75th pctl
Chase cost
-4.1r
45 swings @ bad pitch
Passive cost
-1.0r
22 takes @ hittable pitch
Swing rate
60.4%
227 pitches seen
Runs per 100
-2.25
lg avg -2.53
Count
View
1122455413+8%13-13%15-15%13352+57%7+0%18-12%25-27%15+0%11244+29%7+8%12+0%843211CATCHER'S VIEW
Judgment — swing% vs optimal
−35%−15%0+15%+35%
  • Red cells — swings more than an optimal batter would here (chasing).
  • Blue cells — swings less than optimal (too passive).
  • Number in cell: swing%-delta vs optimal. Top-right: pitches seen.
Total pitches shown: 227